IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-08c30073.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

"It is the economy, companheiro!": an empirical analysis of Lula's re-election based on municipal data

Author

Listed:
  • Claudio Djissey Shikida

    (IBMEC-MG)

  • Leonardo Monteiro Monasterio

    (UFPEL)

  • Ari Francisco de Araujo Jr.

    (IBMEC-MG)

  • Andre Carraro

    (UFPEL)

  • Otávio Menezes Damé

    (UFPel)

Abstract

This paper discusses the reasons that led to the Lula's 2006 re-election. Spatial analysis methods revealed that, contrary to 2002, the President had more votes in less developed municipalities of Brazil. The econometric results cast doubt on the analyses that attribute to Bolsa Família Programme total responsibility for the re-election. Lula''s electoral success results from changes in the labor market, low inflation and an export boom that have reduced inequality and improved the real wages of the Brazilian poor.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudio Djissey Shikida & Leonardo Monteiro Monasterio & Ari Francisco de Araujo Jr. & Andre Carraro & Otávio Menezes Damé, 2009. ""It is the economy, companheiro!": an empirical analysis of Lula's re-election based on municipal data," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(2), pages 976-991.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-08c30073
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2009/Volume29/EB-09-V29-I2-P46.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hendry, David F., 2006. "A comment on "Specification searches in spatial econometrics: The relevance of Hendry's methodology"," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 309-312, March.
    2. Florax, Raymond J. G. M. & Folmer, Hendrik & Rey, Sergio J., 2003. "Specification searches in spatial econometrics: the relevance of Hendry's methodology," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 557-579, September.
    3. Florax, Raymond J.G.M. & Folmer, Hendrik & Rey, Sergio J., 2006. "A comment on specification searches in spatial econometrics: The relevance of Hendry's methodology: A reply," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 300-308, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bedran-Martins, Ana Maria & Lemos, Maria Carmen, 2017. "Politics of drought under Bolsa Família program in Northeast Brazil," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 7, pages 15-21.
    2. Sergei Suarez Dillon Soares, 2012. "Bolsa Família: A Summary of Its Impacts," One Pager 137, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
    3. Sergei Suarez Dillon Soares, 2012. "Bolsa Família, its Design, its Impacts and Possibilities for the Future," Working Papers 89, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
    4. Sergei Suarez Dillon Soares, 2015. "Bolsa Família: Sintesi del suo impatto," One Pager Italian 137, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
    5. Sergei Suarez Dillon Soares, 2012. "Bolsa Família: Un Resumen de sus Impactos," One Pager Spanish 137, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Montmartin, Benjamin & Herrera, Marcos & Massard, Nadine, 2018. "The impact of the French policy mix on business R&D: How geography matters," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(10), pages 2010-2027.
    2. Montmartin, B. & Herrera, M. & Massard, N., 2015. "R&D policies in France: New evidence from a NUTS3 spatial analysis," Working Papers 2015-11, Grenoble Applied Economics Laboratory (GAEL).
    3. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/7rrsl07p559bjr85tr7hsft1o9 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Benjamin Montmartin & Marcos Herrera & Nadine Massard, 2017. "R&D Policy regimes in France: New Evidence from a spatio-temporal Analysis," GREDEG Working Papers 2017-22, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    5. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/4ji8v7q9nt9q0rsm9mqn5dqrrp is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Torben Klarl, 2009. "Modelling the folk theorem of spatial economics: a heterogeneous regional growth model," Working Papers 071, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    7. Martinho, Vítor João Pereira Domingues, 2011. "Spatial autocorrelation and Verdoorn law in the Portuguese nuts III," MPRA Paper 32165, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Mur, Jesús & Angulo, Ana, 2009. "Model selection strategies in a spatial setting: Some additional results," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 200-213, March.
    9. Wolf, Levi John, 2022. "The Right to Rule by Thumb: A Comment on Epistemology in "A Route Map for Successful Applications of Geographically-Weighted Regression"," SocArXiv qzjwb, Center for Open Science.
    10. repec:rri:wpaper:201303 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Chocholatá Michaela & Furková Andrea, 2017. "Regional Disparities in Education Attainment Level in the European Union: A Spatial Approach," TalTech Journal of European Studies, Sciendo, vol. 7(2), pages 107-131, October.
    12. Atems, Bebonchu, 2013. "The spatial dynamics of growth and inequality: Evidence using U.S. county-level data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 19-22.
    13. Atems, Bebonchu, 2015. "Another look at tax policy and state economic growth: The long-run and short-run of it," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 64-67.
    14. Dorota Ciolek, 2011. "Metody identyfikacji efektow zewnetrznych funkcjonowania klastrów przemyslowych," Working Papers of Economics of European Integration Division 1103, The Univeristy of Gdansk, Faculty of Economics, Economics of European Integration Division.
    15. Vítor Martinho, 2011. "Analysis of net migration between the Portuguese regions," Working Papers 80, globADVANTAGE, Polytechnic Institute of Leiria.
    16. Elliott, Robert J.R. & Zhou, Ying, 2015. "Co-location and Spatial Wage Spillovers in China: The Role of Foreign Ownership and Trade," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 629-644.
    17. Wang, Chao & Zhang, Xinyi & Ghadimi, Pezhman & Liu, Qian & Lim, Ming K. & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2019. "The impact of regional financial development on economic growth in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region: A spatial econometric analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 635-648.
    18. Zenaida M Sumalde & Donald B. Villanueva & Valerien O Pede & Yolanda T Garcia & U-Primo E Rodriguez, 2017. "Assessment of Neighborhood and Spillover Effects on Technical Efficiency of Irrigated Rice Farmers," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Development, Southeast Asian Regional Center for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture (SEARCA), vol. 14(2), pages 103-125, December.
    19. Stephan Brunow & Georg Hirte, 2009. "The age pattern of human capital and regional productivity: A spatial econometric study on german regions," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 88(4), pages 799-823, November.
    20. Ghazala Aziz & Zouheir Mighri, 2022. "Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Forestry in China: A Spatial Panel Data Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-40, October.
    21. Fernando A. López & Pedro J. Martínez-Ortiz & Juan-Gabriel Cegarra-Navarro, 2017. "Spatial spillovers in public expenditure on a municipal level in Spain," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 58(1), pages 39-65, January.
    22. Joan Carles Martori & Rafa Madariaga & Ramon Oller, 2016. "Real estate bubble and urban population density: six Spanish metropolitan areas 2001–2011," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(2), pages 369-392, March.
    23. Martinho, Vítor João Pereira Domingues, 2011. "Application of keynesian theory and new economic geography in Portugal. Differences and similarities," MPRA Paper 32911, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H1 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • D7 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-08c30073. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: John P. Conley (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.