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Climate Change, Salinization and High-Yield Rice Production in Coastal Bangladesh

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  • Dasgupta, Susmita
  • Hossain, Md. Moqbul
  • Huq, Mainul
  • Wheeler, David

Abstract

Progressive salinization of water and soil will be increasingly severe in low-lying coastal areas as climate change proceeds. Thus, understanding the economic impacts of salinity intrusion will be essential for effective adaptation planning. This paper uses econometric analysis to predict the impact of climate-induced increases in soil salinity on high-yielding-variety rice production in coastal Bangladesh. Findings indicate an output decline of 15.6 percent in nine subdistricts where soil salinity will exceed 4 deciSiemens per meter before 2050. Without new adaptation strategies, the predicted changes will result in 7.7 and 5.6 percent losses in the Barisal and Chittagong regions, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Dasgupta, Susmita & Hossain, Md. Moqbul & Huq, Mainul & Wheeler, David, 2018. "Climate Change, Salinization and High-Yield Rice Production in Coastal Bangladesh," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(1), pages 66-89, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:agrerw:v:47:y:2018:i:01:p:66-89_00
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    2. Todd A. Eisenstadt & Tawfique Haque & Michael Toman & Matthew Wright, 2022. "The “Adaptation Paradox” and Citizen Ambiguity over Government Climate Policies: Survey Findings from Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
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    6. Aravindakshan, Sreejith & Krupnik, Timothy J. & Amjath-Babu, T.S. & Speelman, Stijn & Tur-Cardona, Juan & Tittonell, Pablo & Groot, Jeroen C.J., 2021. "Quantifying farmers' preferences for cropping systems intensification: A choice experiment approach applied in coastal Bangladesh's risk prone farming systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    7. Guimbeau, Amanda & Ji, Xinde & Menon, Nidhiya & Long, Zi, 2022. "An Extra Grain of Salt: The Effect of Salinity Exposure on Early Life Health Outcomes in Coastal Bangladesh," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322076, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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