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Efecto de la incertidumbre en las organizaciones del mercado accionario: una herramienta para la toma de decisiones y la inteligencia organizacional

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  • Juan Manuel Candelo-Viáfara
  • Carlos Hernán Gonzáles-Campo

Abstract

Este artículo tiene como objetivo medir el efecto de la incertidumbre en las organizaciones del mercado accionario colombiano, usando información financiera como los precios de las materias primas energéticas y la tasa de cambio, con el fin de aumentar la inteligencia organizacional para la toma de decisiones. Se utilizan el modelo FAVAR y la medición de derrame financiero para analizar los impactos y la volatilidad direccional del índice IMIFE, el cual es proxy de incertidumbre. Se encuentra que la incertidumbre afecta negativamente el crecimiento del valor de las acciones colombianas, generando impactos significativos de más del 90 % en momentos de alta incertidumbre, lo que permite tomar decisiones de gestión, tanto estratégica como financiera.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Manuel Candelo-Viáfara & Carlos Hernán Gonzáles-Campo, 2022. "Efecto de la incertidumbre en las organizaciones del mercado accionario: una herramienta para la toma de decisiones y la inteligencia organizacional," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, vol. 38(162), pages 57-68, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000129:020062
    DOI: 10.18046/j.estger.2022.162.4689
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    incertidumbre; toma de decisiones; inteligencia organizacional; racionalidad; materias primas energéticas.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • D52 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Incomplete Markets
    • D52 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Incomplete Markets
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

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