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Entwicklung von Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt in Sachsen und Ostdeutschland 2005/2006

Author

Listed:
  • Michael Berlemann
  • Beate Henschel
  • Beate Schirwitz
  • Gerit Vogt

Abstract

Im vorliegenden Beitrag wird die aktuelle Konjunkturprognose des ifo Instituts für Sachsen und Ostdeutschland für die Jahre 2005 und 2006 vorgestellt. Zunächst wird das verwendete Prognoseverfahren kurz erläutert, wobei auch auf den aus der Umstellung der amtlichen Statistik resultierenden zukünftigen Reformbedarf der Methodik eingegangen wird. Anschließend wird die erwartete Entwicklung der sächsischen und der ostdeutschen Wirtschaft anhand wichtiger Teilaggregate skizziert und die hiermit voraussichtlich verbundene Beschäftigungsentwicklung dargestellt. Schließlich liefert der Beitrag eine kurze Bestandsaufnahme der Wirkungen von Hartz IV auf die Entwicklung der Arbeitslosenzahlen in Sachsen und Ostdeutschland.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Berlemann & Beate Henschel & Beate Schirwitz & Gerit Vogt, 2005. "Entwicklung von Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt in Sachsen und Ostdeutschland 2005/2006," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 12(04), pages 3-10, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:12:y:2005:i:04:p:3-10
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2004. "Zur Einführung der Vorjahrespreisbasis in der deutschen Statistik: Besonderheiten der Quartalsrechnung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(15), pages 14-21, August.
    2. repec:ces:ifosdt:v::y:2004:i::p:14-21 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "The introduction of the previous-year price basis in German National Accounts: Consequences for business-cycle analysis," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(05), pages 19-27, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gerit Vogt, 2009. "Konjunkturprognose in Deutschland. Ein Beitrag zur Prognose der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung auf Bundes- und Länderebene," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 36.
    2. Gerit Vogt, 2010. "Zur Güte der ifo Dresden Konjunkturprognosen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 17(01), pages .28-32, February.
    3. Gerit Vogt, 2008. "Ein Beschäftigungsbarometer für die sächsische Wirtschaft," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 15(01), pages .41-43, February.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

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