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Zur Einführung der Vorjahrespreisbasis in der deutschen Statistik: Besonderheiten der Quartalsrechnung

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  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

Abstract

In den deutschen Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen (VGR) wurde bisher das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt (BIP) in konstanten Preisen eines Basisjahres nachgewiesen (Festpreisbasis). Auf der Grundlage der Entscheidung der EU-Kommission vom 30. November 1998 wird bei der nächsten anstehenden großen VGR-Revision im Frühjahr 2005 in den deutschen VGR nun die Vorjahrespreisbasis eingeführt. Das Statistische Bundesamt beabsichtigt diese Umstellung nicht nur für die Jahresrechnung, sondern auch für die Quartalsrechnung durchzuführen. Dieser Beitrag informiert über die Vorteile des Systemwechsels und geht auf die Spezifika der vierteljährlichen Gesamtrechnung auf Vorjahrespreisbasis ein.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2004. "Zur Einführung der Vorjahrespreisbasis in der deutschen Statistik: Besonderheiten der Quartalsrechnung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(15), pages 14-21, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:57:y:2004:i:15:p:14-21
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    1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2004. "Economic growth in the system of national accounts: the introduction of the previous-year price base in the German statistics," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(05), pages 28-34, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "Previous-year price basis: Calculating rules for aggregation," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(22), pages 12-16, November.
    2. Joachim Ragnitz & Stefan Arent & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Beate Schirwitz & Johannes Steinbrecher & Gerit Vogt & Björn Ziegenbalg, 2010. "Methodenexpertise zur Analyse der Auswirkungen der internationalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise auf die Wirtschaft im Land Brandenburg : Gutachten im Auftrag des Ministeriums für Wirtschaft des Landes," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 53.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2014. "Real value of GDP: Purchasing Power Plus Through Terms-of-Trade Profits," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(14), pages 27-30, July.
    4. Flor Michael, 2014. "Post reunification economic fluctuations in Germany: a real business cycle interpretation," Review of Business and Economics Studies, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное образовательное бюджетное учреждение высшего профессионального образования «Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации» (Финансовый университет), issue 4, pages 5-17.
    5. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2016. "Quarterly Real Value of GDP: Latest Results," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(15), pages 34-37, August.
    6. Klaus Abberger & Gebhard Flaig & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse : ausgewählte methodische Aufsätze aus dem ifo Schnelldienst," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 33.
    7. Quaas, Georg, 2009. "Die Umsetzung der Annual-Overlap-Methode in ökonometrischen Modellen – eine Analyse der programmtechnischen Möglichkeiten von E-Views [The implementation of the annual-overlap method in econometric," MPRA Paper 19435, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Michael Berlemann & Beate Henschel & Beate Schirwitz & Gerit Vogt, 2005. "Entwicklung von Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt in Sachsen und Ostdeutschland 2005/2006," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 12(04), pages 3-10, August.
    9. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2006. "Aggregate production and price level: Volume calculations in comparison," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(14), pages 13-18, July.
    10. Michael Flor, 2014. "Post Reunification Economic Fluctuations in Germany: A Real Business Cycle Interpretation," Working Papers 146, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    11. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "Previous year price basis and chain linking in the National Accounts: the most important features of the new volume calculation," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 29-35, August.
    12. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "Vierteljährliche volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnungen für Sachsen mit Hilfe temporaler Disaggregation," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 14(04), pages .24-36, August.
    13. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
    14. Tödter, Karl-Heinz, 2005. "Umstellung der deutschen VGR auf Vorjahrespreisbasis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,31, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    15. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2008. "Price-adjusted GDP and the practice followed by the Institutes in the Joint Economic Analysis," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(09), pages 15-18, May.
    16. Quaas, Georg, 2009. "Realgrößen und Preisindizes im alten und im neuen VGR-System [Macro-economic aggregates in real terms and price indices in the old and the new system of national accounts]," MPRA Paper 22316, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Apr 2010.
    17. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72.
    18. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "The introduction of the previous-year price basis in German National Accounts: Consequences for business-cycle analysis," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(05), pages 19-27, March.
    19. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "Vierteljährliche volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnungen für Sachsen mit Hilfe temporaler Disaggregation," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 14(04), pages 24-36, 08.
    20. Quaas, Georg, 2019. "Ferndiagnose des RWI-Konjunkturmodells [Remote diagnosis of the RWI business cycle model]," MPRA Paper 95292, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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