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Parameter least-squares estimation for time-inhomogeneous Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process

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  • Pramesti Getut

    (Graduate School of Mathematics, Kyushu University, 744 Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka, 819-0395, Japan ; and Pendidikan Matematika FKIP Universitas Sebelas Maret, Jl. Ir. Sutami 36A Surakarta 57126, Indonesia)

Abstract

We address the least-squares estimation of the drift coefficient parameter θ=(λ,A,B,ωp)\theta=(\lambda,A,B,\omega_{p}) of a time-inhomogeneous Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process that is observed at high frequency, in which the discretized step size ℎ satisfies h→0h\to 0. In this paper, under the conditions n⁢h→∞nh\to\infty and n⁢h2→0nh^{2}\to 0, we prove the consistency and the asymptotic normality of the estimators. We obtain the convergence of the parameters at rate n⁢h\sqrt{nh}, except for ωp\omega_{p} at n3⁢h3\sqrt{n^{3}h^{3}}. To verify our theoretical findings, we do a simulation study. We then illustrate the use of the proposed model in fitting the energy use of light fixtures in one Belgium household and the stock exchange.

Suggested Citation

  • Pramesti Getut, 2023. "Parameter least-squares estimation for time-inhomogeneous Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 29(1), pages 1-32, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:mcmeap:v:29:y:2023:i:1:p:1-32:n:5
    DOI: 10.1515/mcma-2022-2127
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