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South Asia: Does Preferential Trade Liberalisation Make Sense?

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Arvind Panagariya

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Abstract

This paper systematically analyses the issue of trade liberalisation in the South Asia region and offers a qualitative assessment of alternative approaches. I compare two broad approaches to trade liberalisation: non-discriminatory and preferential. The former approach can be pursued on a unilateral basis by each country in the region, on a concerted basis by the countries in the region, or multilateral basis under the auspices of the WTO. The latter approach can take the form of criss-crossing bilateral free trade areas between various countries in the region or a region-wide free trade area. The view I take in the paper is that the move towards preferential trading is a mistake, at least from the viewpoint of India. India continues to have very high trade barriers so that the scope for trade diversion and the losses accompanying it are likely to be considerable. Business lobbies being relatively powerful in most of the countries in the region, they are likely to exploit the rules of origin and sectoral exceptions in these arrangements in ways that will maximise trade diversion and minimise trade creation. Inasmuch as the rules of origin give bureaucrats power, employment and opportunities to share in the rents created by tariff preferences, they too will become active parties to the diversionary tactics of business lobbies. Therefore, the member countries are better advised to proceed along non-discriminatory lines in achieving further liberalisation. Copyright Blackwell Publishing Ltd 2003.

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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal The World Economy.

Volume (Year): 26 (2003)
Issue (Month): 9 (09)
Pages: 1279-1291
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Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:26:y:2003:i:9:p:1279-1291

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  1. Bhagwati, J. & Panagariya, A., 1996. "Preferential Trading Areas and Multilateralism: Strangers, Friends or Foes?," Discussion Papers 1996_09, Columbia University, Department of Economics.
  2. Frankel, Jeffrey & Stein, Ernesto & Wei, Shang-jin, 1995. "Trading blocs and the Americas: The natural, the unnatural, and the super-natural," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 61-95, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Lawrence H. Summers, 1991. "Regionalism and the world trading system," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 295-301.
  4. Paul Krugman, 1991. "The move toward free trade zones," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 7-58.
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  5. Jiandong Ju & Kala Krishna, 1998. "Firm Behavior and Market Access in a Free Trade Area with Rules of Origin," NBER Working Papers 6857, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Arvind Panagariya & Rupa Duttagupta, 2003. "Free Trade Areas and Rules of Origin: Economics and Politics," IMF Working Papers 03/229, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Hossain, Sharif M., 2009. "South Asian Free Trade Area: Implications for Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 18517, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jose Daniel Rodríguez-Delgado, 2007. "SAFTA: Living in a World of Regional Trade Agreements," IMF Working Papers 07/23, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  3. Pradeep S Mehta & Pranav Kumar, 2004. "RTAs and South Asia: Options in the Wake of Cancun Fiasco," ASARC Working Papers 2004-11, Australian National University, Australia South Asia Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-19.


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