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Die makroökonomischen Wirkungen diskretionärer Fiskalpolitik in Deutschland - Was wissen wir empirisch?

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  • Michael W.M. Roos

Abstract

This article surveys the empirical literature on the effects of discretionary fiscal policy on the German macroeconomy. Although the qualitative and quantitative effects of fiscal policy are often discussed among politicians and in the public, economists only recently renewed their interest in this topic and have produced only few empirical studies for Germany so far. While older macroeconometric models generally predict positive effects of expansionary policies on output in the short run, newer SVAR studies disagree on the direction of the expected effects. There is, however, some agreement that the effects are likely to be small. Copyright 2007 die Autoren Journal compilation 2007, Verein für Socialpolitik und Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Verein für Socialpolitik in its journal Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik.

Volume (Year): 8 (2007)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 293-308

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Handle: RePEc:bla:perwir:v:8:y:2007:i:4:p:293-308

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References

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  1. Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2002. "Some Stylized Facts on Non-Systematic Fiscal Policy in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 3635, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. David Aschauer, 1988. "Is public expenditure productive?," Staff Memoranda 88-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  3. Ludvigson, Sydney, 1996. "The macroeconomic effects of government debt in a stochastic growth model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 25-45, August.
  4. Mountford, Andrew & Uhlig, Harald, 2002. "What are the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks?," CEPR Discussion Papers 3338, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  5. Craig Burnside & Martin Eichenbaum & Jonas D.M. Fisher, 1999. "Assessing the effects of fiscal shocks," Working Paper Series WP-99-18, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  6. Julio J. Rotemberg & Michael Woodford, 1989. "Oligopolistic Pricing and the Effects of Aggregate Demand on Economic Activity," NBER Working Papers 3206, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Linnemann, Ludger & Schabert, Andreas, 2003. " Fiscal Policy in the New Neoclassical Synthesis," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(6), pages 911-29, December.
  8. Olivier Blanchard & Roberto Perotti, 1999. "An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output," NBER Working Papers 7269, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  9. Devereux, Michael B & Head, Allen C & Lapham, Beverly J, 1996. "Monopolistic Competition, Increasing Returns, and the Effects of Government Spending," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 28(2), pages 233-54, May.
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Blog mentions

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  1. Rettet Frankfurt, aber vergesst nicht Neukölln!
    by Fabian Lindner in Herdentrieb on 2008-10-14 13:18:41
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Cited by:
  1. Wolff, Guntram B. & Tenhofen, Jörn & Heppke-Falk, Kirsten H., 2006. "The macroeconomic effects of exogenous fiscal policy shocks in Germany: a disaggregated SVAR analysis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,41, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
  2. Walther Otremba & Jürgen Rüttgers & Michael Hüther & Otto Kentzler & Volker Treier & Kurt J. Lauk, 2008. "Wie nötig ist ein »Anti-Rezessionsprogramm«?," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(18), pages 03-24, 09.
  3. Baum, Anja & Koester, Gerrit B., 2011. "The impact of fiscal policy on economic activity over the business cycle - evidence from a threshold VAR analysis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,03, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
  4. Ulrich Klüh & Wolfgang Wiegard & Karl-Hans Hartwig & Thomas Bauer & Busso Grabow, 2009. "Konjunkturpaket II: Was bringen Investitionen in Infrastruktur?," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(02), pages 03-15, 01.
  5. Michael W. M. Roos, 2009. "Die deutsche Fiskalpolitik während der Wirtschaftskrise 2008/2009," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 10(4), pages 389-412, November.

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