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Ex Ante Research Evaluation and Regional Trade Flows: Maize in Kenya

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  • Bradford F. Mills

Abstract

Public sector investment in agricultural research is an important component of developing country efforts to bolster staple cereal production in the face of rapid population growth. This paper uses a spatial equilibrium model to evaluate the potential impact of maize research in six regions of Kenya. The application highlights the important role of research in meeting future food needs, as well as the geographic variability of producer and consumer benefits from technology and trade policy options. Despite significant research induced supply shifts, Kenya will require additional production increases of 1.5 to 2 per cent per year to meet stated goals of self‐sufficiency in maize production with open markets. Import restrictions can ensure self‐sufficiency and generate producer welfare gains at greater expense to the majority of Kenyans who are net consumers of maize. In the debate over trade policy, public sector investments in maize research should be seen as a potential mechanism to compensate producers for welfare losses associated with market liberalisation.

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  • Bradford F. Mills, 1998. "Ex Ante Research Evaluation and Regional Trade Flows: Maize in Kenya," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(3), pages 393-408, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jageco:v:49:y:1998:i:3:p:393-408
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1477-9552.1998.tb01280.x
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    1. Falconi, Cesar A. & Omamo, Steven Were & d'Ieteren, Guy & Iraqi, Fuad, 2001. "An ex ante economic and policy analysis of research on genetic resistance to livestock disease: trypanosomosis in Africa," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 25(2-3), pages 153-163, September.
    2. Ramón G. Guajardo Quiroga & Pedro A. Villezca Becerra, 2004. "Impacto de la apertura comercial de México y de su integración en bloques comerciales en el mercado mundial del limón," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 19(1), pages 61-92.
    3. Minot, Nicholas & Balie, Jean & Valera, Harold Glenn A., 2021. "Prioritizing yield-increasing crop research for poverty impact: An application of microsimulation in the Philippines," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 313976, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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