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The Future of Private Equity

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  • Josh Lerner

Abstract

After a period of robust growth, the private equity industry has experienced a marked decline. In the wake of the 2008 economic crisis, the future of the venture and buyout industries seems unclear. This speech discusses four possible scenarios for the future of the private equity industry by examining the short†and long†run determinants of private equity supply and demand. Possible scenarios include Recovery, Back to the Future, The Limited Partners' Desertion, and A Broken Industry. Although support is given for each of the scenarios, a clear prediction for the future remains difficult. The future of the private equity market is likely to be the subject of debate for some time to come.

Suggested Citation

  • Josh Lerner, 2011. "The Future of Private Equity," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 17(3), pages 423-435, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:eufman:v:17:y:2011:i:3:p:423-435
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-036X.2010.00589.x
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    2. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Hassan, M. Kabir & Rai, Varun Kumar, 2023. "Venture capital financing during crises: A bibliometric review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Ranko Jelic & Mike Wright, 2011. "Exits, Performance, and Late Stage Private Equity: the Case of UK Management Buy†outs," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 17(3), pages 560-593, June.
    4. James D. Shilling & C.F. Sirmans & Barrett A. Slade, 2017. "Spatial Correlation in Expected Returns in Commercial Real Estate Markets and the Role of Core Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 297-337, April.
    5. Paglia, John K. & Harjoto, Maretno A., 2014. "The effects of private equity and venture capital on sales and employment growth in small and medium-sized businesses," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 177-197.
    6. Henry Lahr & Andrea Mina, 2014. "Liquidity, Technological Opportunities, and the Stage Distribution of Venture Capital Investments," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 43(2), pages 291-325, June.
    7. Francis Boadu & Gabriel Dwomoh & Sarpong Appiah & Elizabeth Dwomo-Fokuo, 2014. "Venture Capital Financing: An Opportunity for Small and Medium Scale Enterprises in Ghana," Journal of Entrepreneurship and Business Innovation, Macrothink Institute, Journal of Entrepreneurship and Business Innovation, vol. 1(1), pages 1-15, June.
    8. Ann†Kristin Achleitner & Christian Figge, 2014. "Private Equity Lemons?Evidence on Value Creation in Secondary Buyouts," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 20(2), pages 406-433, March.
    9. Lahr, Henry & Mina, Andrea, 2016. "Venture capital investments and the technological performance of portfolio firms," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 303-318.
    10. Achleitner, Ann-Kristin & Engel, Nico & Reiner, Uwe, 2013. "The performance of venture capital investments: Do investors overreact?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 20-35.
    11. James Ang & Irena Hutton & Mary Anne Majadillas, 2014. "Manager Divestment in Leveraged Buyouts," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 20(3), pages 462-493, June.
    12. Ettore Croci & Alfonso Del Giudice, 2014. "Delistings, Controlling Shareholders and Firm Performance in Europe," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 20(2), pages 374-405, March.
    13. Ann‐Kristin Achleitner & Nico Engel & Uwe Reiner, 2013. "The performance of venture capital investments: Do investors overreact?," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 22(1), pages 20-35, January.
    14. Sonal Pandya & David Leblang, 2017. "Risky business: Institutions vs. social networks in FDI," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 91-117, July.

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