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Idiosyncratic Uncertainty and Firm Investment

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Author Info
Bo, Hong
Abstract

We test the impact of idiosyncratic demand uncertainty on investment using a panel of 82 Dutch listed manufacturing firms in the period 1984-95. The measure of uncertainty is constructed by estimating a state space model at the firm level to isolate idiosyncratic uncertainty from other unobserved components. Generalised Method of Moments estimators show that demand uncertainty, which is specific to the firm, depresses firm investment. More interestingly, we find that idiosyncratic uncertainty is more important in explaining firm investment than total uncertainty that mixes idiosyncratic uncertainty with other sources of uncertainty. Copyright 2002 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd/University of Adelaide and Flinders University of South Australia

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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Australian Economic Papers.

Volume (Year): 41 (2002)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 1-14
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Handle: RePEc:bla:ausecp:v:41:y:2002:i:1:p:1-14

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  1. Christopher F. Baum & Mustafa Caglayan & Andreas Stephan & Oleksandr Talavera, 2005. "Uncertainty Determinants of Corporate Liquidity," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 634, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 09 Oct 2006. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Ulf von Kalckreuth, 2003. "Exploring the role of uncertainty for corporate investment decisions in Germany," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 139(II), pages 173-206, June. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Mark J. Koetse & Henri L.F. de Groot & Raymond J.G.M. Florax, 2006. "The Impact of Uncertainty on Investment: A Meta-Analysis," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-060/3, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
  4. Oleksandra Talavera & Christopher Baum & Andreas Stephan, 2005. "Macroeconomics Uncertainty and Firm Leverage," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 72, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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