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Current Account Balance and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation

Author

Listed:
  • G. K. Sanni

    (Central Bank of Nigeria)

  • A. U. Musa

    (Central Bank of Nigeria)

  • Z. Sani

    (Central Bank of Nigeria)

Abstract

This study examined the relationship between current account balance and economic growth in Nigeria. Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds Testing methodology was employed to investigate the relationship, using annual data spanning from 1970 – 2016. The study found a long-run relationship between the current account balance, the real gross domestic product (GDP) growth and bilateral real exchange rate in Nigeria. The positive relationship between real GDP growth and the current account balance implies that increase in real GDP growth would lead to an improvement in the current account balance. However, the study found a negative relationship between real exchange rate and current account balance. Depreciation in the exchange rate would lead to the deterioration in the current account balance. This latter result has implications for the CBN’s exchange rate management strategy. Specifically, maintaining a stable exchange rate should continue to be a priority for the CBN given the debilitating effect of a depreciating exchange rate on the current account, and by extension, economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • G. K. Sanni & A. U. Musa & Z. Sani, 2019. "Current Account Balance and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation," Economic and Financial Review, Central Bank of Nigeria, vol. 57(2), June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ava:cbnefr:v:57:y:2019:i:a:4:2:p:
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    File URL: https://dc.cbn.gov.ng/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1008&context=efr
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chinn, Menzie D. & Prasad, Eswar S., 2003. "Medium-term determinants of current accounts in industrial and developing countries: an empirical exploration," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(1), pages 47-76, January.
    2. Mr. Olumuyiwa S Adedeji, 2001. "The Size and Sustainability of Nigerian Current Account Deficits," IMF Working Papers 2001/087, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Aleksander Aristovnik, 2007. "Short- And Medium-Term Determinants Of Current Account Balances In Middle East And North Africa Countries," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp862, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    4. Calderon Cesar Augusto & Chong Alberto & Loayza Norman V., 2002. "Determinants of Current Account Deficits in Developing Countries," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 2(1), pages 1-33, March.
    5. Sebil Olalekan Oshota & Ibrahim Adegoke Adeleke, 2015. "Determinants of the Current Account Balance in Nigeria, Ghana and Cote d’Ivoire," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 11(3), pages 127-145, June.
    6. Helmut Herwartz & Florian Siedenburg, 2007. "Determinants of Current Account Imbalances in 16 OECD Countries: An Out-Of-Sample Perspective," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 143(2), pages 349-374, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Olufemi G. Onatunji, 2023. "Sustainability of current account deficits in Nigeria: evidence from the asymmetric NARDL approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(10), pages 1-22, October.

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