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Complete Flexibility Systems And The Stationarity Of U.S. Meat Demands

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  • Dahlgran, Roger A.

Abstract

A Rotterdam demand model is used to detect evidence of structural change in beef, pork, and chicken demands. The demand model is partially inverted prior to estimation to account for meat supply fixity. Estimation uses a likelihood maximization routine applied to 1950 through 1985 annual data. The results suggest severe disruption in the meat markets in the 1970s. A comparison of the 1980s and the 1960s elasticity structures reveals that income and cross-price elasticities are nearly the same but direct price elasticities are lower and are trending toward even more inelasticity. Implications for pricing and risk management are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Dahlgran, Roger A., 1987. "Complete Flexibility Systems And The Stationarity Of U.S. Meat Demands," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 12(2), pages 1-12, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32223
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.32223
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Thurman, Walter N, 1986. "Endogeneity Testing in a Supply and Demand Framework," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 68(4), pages 638-646, November.
    2. Braschler, Curtis, 1983. "The Changing Demand Structure for Pork and Beef in the 1970s: Implications for the 1980s," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(2), pages 105-110, December.
    3. Moschini, GianCarlo & Meilke, Karl D., 1984. "Parameter Stability And The U.S. Demand For Beef," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 9(2), pages 1-12, December.
    4. Richard Green & Zuhair A. Hassan & S. R. Johnson, 1978. "Alternative Estimates of Static and Dynamic Demand Systems for Canada," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 60(1), pages 93-107.
    5. Haidacher, Richard C., 1983. "Assessing Structural Change in the Demand for Food Commodities," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(1), pages 31-37, July.
    6. Braschler, Curtis H., 1983. "The Changing Demand Structure For Pork And Beef In The 1970s: Implications For The 1980s," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 15(2), pages 1-6, December.
    7. Jean-Paul Chavas, 1983. "Structural Change in the Demand for Meat," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 65(1), pages 148-153.
    8. Haidacher, Richard C., 1983. "Assessing Structural Change In The Demand For Food Commodities," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 15(1), pages 1-7, July.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. X. M. Gao & Timothy Richards & Albert Kagan, 1997. "A latent variable model of consumer taste determination and taste change for complex carbohydrates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(12), pages 1643-1654.
    2. Zhou, Xia “Vivian”, 2015. "Using Almost Ideal Demand System To Analyze Demand For Shrimp In Us Food Market," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 3(3), pages 1-16, July.
    3. Eales, James & Veeman, Michele & Fulton, Joan, 1993. "Canadian Demand for Meats," Project Report Series 232377, University of Alberta, Department of Resource Economics and Environmental Sociology.
    4. Yadavalli, Anita & Jones, Keithly, 2014. "Does media influence consumer demand? The case of lean finely textured beef in the United States," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(P1), pages 219-227.
    5. Hsu, Jane Lu, 2000. "Gradual Switching Structural Changes of Meat Consumption in Taiwan," 2000 Conference (44th), January 23-25, 2000, Sydney, Australia 123663, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    6. Matthew T. Holt & Joseph V. Balagtas, 2009. "Estimating Structural Change with Smooth Transition Regressions: An Application to Meat Demand," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1424-1431.
    7. Asche, Frank & Zhang, Dengjun, 2013. "Testing Structural Changes in the U.S. Whitefish Import Market: An Inverse Demand System Approach," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(3), pages 453-470, December.
    8. Richards, Timothy J. & Kagan, Albert & Gao, Xiaoming, 1997. "Factors Influencing Changes In Potato And Potato Substitute Demand," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 26(1), pages 1-15, April.
    9. Roger A. Dahlgran & Dean G. Fairchild, 2002. "The demand impacts of chicken contamination publicity-a case study," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(4), pages 459-474.
    10. Rodriguez, Nestor & Eales, James S., 2015. "Structural Change via Threshold Effects: Estimating U.S. Meat Demand Using Smooth Transition Functions and the Effects of More Women in the Labor Force," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 206522, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Roheim, Cathy A. & Zhang, Dengjun, 2018. "Sustainability certification and product substitutability: Evidence from the seafood market," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 92-100.

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