Managing Dairy Profit Risk Using Weather Derivatives
AbstractWeather conditions are a primary source of dairy production risk. Hot and humid weather induces heat stress, which reduces lactation. Heat abatement, such as ventilation, directly affects the temperature and humidity. Abatement can increase expected profit, but cannot eliminate the lost revenue caused by heat stress. Weather derivatives can reduce weather-induced profit risk and act as a substitute for abatement at the margin. We test the risk management value of weather derivatives in a utility-maximization framework. The result is that weather derivatives can expand the efficient portfolio frontier. Simultaneously using the weather derivatives and abatement equipment is more favorable than using either alone.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Western Agricultural Economics Association in its journal Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
Volume (Year): 31 (2006)
Issue (Month): 03 (December)
abatement technology; mean-variance efficiency; profit risk; weather derivatives; Livestock Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty;
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- Tonsor, Glynn T., 2008. "Hedging in Presence of Market Access Risk," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37621, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
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