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The Influence of Market Returns and Government Payments on Canadian Farmland Values

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  • Vyn, Richard J.
  • Haq, Zahoor Ul
  • Weerahewa, Jeevika
  • Meilke, Karl D.

Abstract

This study estimates the impact of changes in market returns and government payments on farmland values across Canada using data from 1959 to 2009. A recursive simultaneous equation model is estimated to account for the counter-cyclical relationship between market returns and government payments. The results indicate that farmland values are more responsive to changes in market returns than in government payments, but both are important drivers of land values. The elasticity of land values with respect to government payments is lower than has been observed in the United States. In addition, the partial decoupling of government payments has not reduced their impact on farmland values.

Suggested Citation

  • Vyn, Richard J. & Haq, Zahoor Ul & Weerahewa, Jeevika & Meilke, Karl D., 2012. "The Influence of Market Returns and Government Payments on Canadian Farmland Values," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-14, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:134220
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.134220
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    1. Michael J. Roberts & Barrett Kirwan & Jeffrey Hopkins, 2003. "The Incidence of Government Program Payments on Agricultural Land Rents: The Challenges of Identification," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 85(3), pages 762-769.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Richard J Vyn & James Rude, 2020. "The Influence of Supply Management on Farmland Values in Ontario," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(4), pages 815-834, December.
    3. B. James Deaton & Chad Lawley, 2022. "A survey of literature examining farmland prices: A Canadian focus," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 70(2), pages 95-121, June.
    4. Ifft, Jennifer & Wu, Shang & Kuethe, Todd H., 2014. "The Impact of Pasture Insurance on Farmland Values," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 0, pages 1-16.
    5. Tzong-Haw Lee & Hung-Hao Chang & Yi-Ting Hsieh & Bo-Yuan Chang, 2021. "Can Agricultural Disaster Relief Programs Affect Farmland Prices? Empirical Evidence from Farmland Transaction Data," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-14, July.
    6. Chang, H.H., 2018. "Stigmatized versus Capitalization Effect on Farmland Prices - Application to the Agricultural Disaster Relief Program in Taiwan," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 276977, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    7. Donoso, Guillermo & Cancino, Jose P. & Foster, William, 2013. "Farmland values and agricultural growth: the case of Chile," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 13(02), pages 1-20, December.
    8. Gabruch, Mandy L. & Micheels, Eric T., 2017. "2016 WAEA Winning Student Submission: The Effect of Saskatchewan's Ownership Restrictions on Farmland Values," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 42(1), pages 1-13, January.

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