IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/agr/journl/v2(615)y2018i2(615)p247-254.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Which comes first – savings or growth? Time series evidence from ECOWAS countries

Author

Listed:
  • Yaya KEHO

    (Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Statistique et d’Economie Appliquée (ENSEA), Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire)

Abstract

This study examines the direction of causality between domestic savings and economic growth in twelve West African countries during the period 1981-2014. It uses the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration and the Granger causality test. The results show that economic growth causes domestic savings in Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria, while the reverse causality running from savings to economic growth holds in Benin, Gambia, Mali, Niger, and Senegal. A two-way causality prevails in Ghana. However, no evidence of causality in either direction was recorded for Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire, Sierra Leone and Togo. These findings show that the direction of causality between savings and growth is country-specific among the West African Countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Yaya KEHO, 2018. "Which comes first – savings or growth? Time series evidence from ECOWAS countries," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(615), S), pages 247-254, Summer.
  • Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:2(615):y:2018:i:2(615):p:247-254
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1342.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.ectap.ro/articol.php?id=1342&rid=131
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Romer, Paul M, 1986. "Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(5), pages 1002-1037, October.
    2. Masih, Rumi & Peters, Sanjay, 2010. "A revisitation of the savings-growth nexus in Mexico," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 107(3), pages 318-320, June.
    3. Ramesh Mohan, 2006. "Causal Relationship Between Savings And Economic Growth In Countries With Different Income Levels," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 5(3), pages 1-12.
    4. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    5. Emmanuel Anoruo & Yusuf Ahmad, 2001. "Causal Relationship between Domestic Savings and Economic Growth: Evidence from Seven African Countries," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 13(2), pages 238-249.
    6. Ira Saltz, 1999. "An examination of the causal relationship between savings and growth in the third world," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 23(1), pages 90-98, March.
    7. Pradeep Agrawal, 2001. "The relation between savings and growth: cointegration and causality evidence from Asia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 499-513.
    8. Mavrotas, George & Kelly, Roger, 2001. "Old Wine in New Bottles: Testing Causality between Savings and Growth," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 69(0), pages 97-105, Supplemen.
    9. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    10. Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2009. "Savings and economic growth in South Africa: A multivariate causality test," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 708-718, September.
    11. Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2008. "Financial depth, savings and economic growth in Kenya: A dynamic causal linkage," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 704-713, July.
    12. Sinha, Dipendra & Sinha, Tapen, 1998. "Cart before the horse? The saving-growth nexus in Mexico," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 43-47, October.
    13. Chor Foon Tang & Soo Y. Chua, 2012. "The savings-growth nexus for the Malaysian economy: a view through rolling sub-samples," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(32), pages 4173-4185, November.
    14. Tang, Chor Foon & Tan, Bee Wah, 2014. "A revalidation of the savings–growth nexus in Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 370-377.
    15. Aylit Tina Romm, 2005. "The Relationship Between Saving And Growth In South Africa: A Time Series Analysis," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 73(2), pages 171-189, June.
    16. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Thanoon, Marwan A. & Rashid, Salim, 2003. "Saving dynamics in the Asian countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(6), pages 827-845, January.
    17. George Mavrotas & Roger Kelly, 2001. "Old Wine in New Bottles: Testing Causality between Savings and Growth," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 69(s1), pages 97-105.
    18. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Segun Thompson Bolarinwa & Olufemi B. Obembe, 2017. "Empirical Analysis of the Nexus between Saving and Economic Growth in Selected African Countries (1981–2014)," Journal of Development Policy and Practice, , vol. 2(1), pages 110-129, January.
    2. Tang, Chor Foon & Tan, Bee Wah, 2014. "A revalidation of the savings–growth nexus in Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 370-377.
    3. Yilmaz BAYAR, 2014. "Savings, Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and Economic Growth in Emerging Asian Economies," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(8), pages 1106-1122, August.
    4. Yaya Keho, 2019. "Relationship Between Savings And Economic Growth In Cote D'Ivoire," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(6), pages 202-207.
    5. Soylu Özgür Bayram, 2019. "Do foreign direct investment and savings promote economic growth in Poland?," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 5(4), pages 3-22, December.
    6. Aadersh Joshi & Sumit Pradhan & Jagadish Prasad Bist, 2019. "Savings, investment, and growth in Nepal: an empirical analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-13, December.
    7. Chor Foon Tang & Eu Chye Tan, 2017. "Re-visiting the Savings-Led Growth Hypothesis and Its Stability in East Asian Economies," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 436-447, July.
    8. Temitope L A, 2014. "The Effects of Foreign Resource Inflow and Savings on the Economic Growth of South Africa: A VAR Analysis," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 6(3), pages 232-241.
    9. Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2009. "Savings and economic growth in South Africa: A multivariate causality test," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 708-718, September.
    10. Jamel Jouini, 2016. "Economic growth and savings in Saudi Arabia: empirical evidence from cointegration and causality analysis," Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 478-495, October.
    11. Kafayat Amusa, 2013. "Savings and Economic Growth in Botswana: An Analysis Using Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 5(4), pages 200-209.
    12. Chor Foon Tang & Kean Siang Ch’ng, 2012. "A Multivariate Analysis of the Nexus between Savings and Economic Growth in the ASEAN-5 Economies," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 6(3), pages 385-406, August.
    13. Bassam AbuAl-Foul, "undated". "The Causal Relation between Savings and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis," Economics Working Papers 06-05/2015, School of Business Administration, American University of Sharjah.
    14. Abbas Ali Chandio & Feng Wei & Jiang Yuansheng, 2015. "Role of savings in economic growth of Pakistan," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(12), pages 243-251, December.
    15. Omar, Masitah & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Does saving stimulate growth? the case of Malaysia," MPRA Paper 109242, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Chor Foon Tang & Soo Y. Chua, 2012. "The savings-growth nexus for the Malaysian economy: a view through rolling sub-samples," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(32), pages 4173-4185, November.
    17. Abdelhafidh, Samir, 2013. "Potential financing sources of investment and economic growth in North African countries: A causality analysis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 150-169.
    18. Piotr Misztal, 2011. "The Relationship Between Savings And Economic Growth In Countries With Different Level Of Economic Development," "e-Finanse", University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis, vol. 7(2), pages 17-29, August.
    19. Agrawal, Pradeep & Sahoo, Pravakar & Dash, Ranjan Kumar, 2009. "Savings behaviour in South Asia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 208-224.
    20. Olayiwola, Abiodun S. & Okunade, Solomon O. & Fatai, Musbau O., 2021. "Savings-Growth Nexus Revisited: An Empirical Analysis from Nigeria," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 9(4), September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:2(615):y:2018:i:2(615):p:247-254. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Marin Dinu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/agerrea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.