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Monetarist Rules in the Light of Recent Experience

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  • McCallum, Bennett T

Abstract

Recent experience does not include a "monetarist experiment," as some have argued, but may slightly reinforce preexisting reasons for doubting that the best way of formulating monetarist policy prescriptions is in the form of a constant growth rule for the money stock.A more desirable rule would pertain to the monetary base, which is much more directly under Fed control. While a constant base growth rule might provide good macroeconomic performance, better results should be obtainable from a rule that at regular intervals adjusts the base growth rate upward or downward depending on whether nominal GNP is below or above a target path that specifies constant, non-inflationary growth for that variable. This type of rule is activist, to an extent, but is non-discretionary.The implied absence of policy-making flexibility is desirable for reasons explained in the literature on dynamic inconsistency.

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Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal American Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 74 (1984)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 388-91

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Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:74:y:1984:i:2:p:388-91

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  1. Barro, Robert J & Gordon, David B, 1983. "A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural Rate Model," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(4), pages 589-610, August.
  2. McCallum, Bennett T & Hoehn, James G, 1983. "Instrument Choice for Money Stock Control with Contemporaneous and Lagged Reserve Requirements: A Note," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 15(1), pages 96-101, February.
  3. McCallum, Bennett T, 1981. "Monetarist Principles and the Money Stock Growth Rule," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(2), pages 134-38, May.
  4. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1977. "Rules Rather Than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(3), pages 473-91, June.
  5. Brunner, Karl & Meltzer, Allan H., 1983. "Strategies and tactics for monetary control," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 59-103, January.
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Cited by:
  1. James A. Dorn, 1993. "Introduction: Financial Deregulation in a Global Economy," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 13(2), pages 155-164, Winter.
  2. Bozani, Vasiliki & Drydakis, Nick, 2011. "Studying the NAIRU and its Implications," IZA Discussion Papers 6079, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  3. Jesper LINDE, 2002. "Monetary Policy Analysis in Backward-Looking Models," Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, ENSAE, issue 67-68, pages 155-182.
  4. Evan F. Koenig, 1995. "Targeting nominal income: a closer look," Working Papers 9518, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  5. Benjamin M. Friedman, 1988. "Targets and Instruments of Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 2668, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Lindé, Jesper, 1999. "Testing for the Lucas Critique: A Quantitative Investigation," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 311, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 09 Mar 1999.
  7. Scheide, Joachim, 1993. "Preisniveaustabilität: Geldmengen auch für unabhängige Notenbanken," Kiel Working Papers 561, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  8. Bennett T. McCallum, 1988. "The Role of Demand Management in the Maintenance of Full Employment," NBER Working Papers 2520, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  9. Racette, Daniel & Raynauld, Jacques & Lauzon, Simon, 1992. "La règle monétaire de McCallum revue à la lumière de la méthodologie de Litterman," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 68(1), pages 262-282, mars et j.
  10. Lindé, Jesper, 2001. "The Empirical Relevance of Simple Forward- and Backward-looking Models: A View from a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model," Working Paper Series 130, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
  11. Scheide, Joachim, 1993. "Geldmenge, Einkommen und Preisniveau: wie stabil ist der Zusammenhang nach der deutschen Wiedervereinigung?," Kiel Working Papers 582, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  12. Hans- Loef, 1989. "The case for rules in the conduct of monetary policy: A critique on a paper by B.T. McCallum," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 125(1), pages 168-178, March.
  13. Takatoshi Ito, 1989. "Is the Bank of Japan a Closet Monetarist? Monetary Targeting in Japan, 1978-1988," NBER Working Papers 2879, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  14. Daniel J. Richards, 1993. "What inflation policy do American voters want, and do they get it?," New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Sep, pages 33-44.
  15. Scheide, Joachim, 1993. "Preisniveaustabilität: Geldmengenregeln auch für unabhängige Notenbanken," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 1575, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

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