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Demand and Defective Growth Patterns: The Role of the Tradable and Non-tradable Sectors in an Open Economy

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  • Sandile Hlatshwayo
  • Michael Spence

Abstract

This paper examines the underlying structural elements of US growth patterns, pre- and post-crisis. Prior to the recession, the US economy exhibited a defective growth pattern driven by outsized domestic demand. As domestic aggregate demand retreats to more sustainable levels relative to total income, the tradable side of the economy is a catalyst for restoring strong growth. A structural rebalancing is already underway; although it is only a third of the economy, the tradable sector generated more than half of gross gains in value-added since the start of the recovery. However, distributional issues loom on the horizon.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandile Hlatshwayo & Michael Spence, 2014. "Demand and Defective Growth Patterns: The Role of the Tradable and Non-tradable Sectors in an Open Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(5), pages 272-277, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:104:y:2014:i:5:p:272-77
    Note: DOI: 10.1257/aer.104.5.272
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Castro, Vítor, 2010. "The duration of economic expansions and recessions: More than duration dependence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 347-365, March.
    2. J. Bradford Jensen & Lori G. Kletzer, 2005. "Tradable Services: Understanding the Scope and Impact of Services Outsourcing," Working Paper Series WP05-9, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    3. Michael Spence & Sandile Hlatshwayo, 2012. "The Evolving Structure of the American Economy and the Employment Challenge," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 54(4), pages 703-738, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Joerg Mayer, 2017. "How Could the South Respond to Secular Stagnation in the North?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(2), pages 314-335, February.
    2. Sophie Piton, 2018. "Do Unit Labor Costs Matter? A Decomposition Exercise on European Data," Working Papers 2018-07, CEPII research center.
    3. Bertinelli, Luisito & Cardi, Olivier & Restout, Romain, 2022. "Labor market effects of technology shocks biased toward the traded sector," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    4. Cherif Reda & Hasanov Fuad, 2019. "Principles of True Industrial Policy," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-22, June.
    5. Danie F. Toerien, 2021. "A Small-Town Economic Revitalisation Conundrum: Focus on Tourism, Manufacturing, or Both?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-18, November.
    6. Chunying Cui & Ziwei Yan, 2023. "Does the Digital Economy Promote Domestic Non-Tradable Sectors?: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-23, February.
    7. Gianluca Benigno & Luca Fornaro & Martin Wolf, 2019. "The global financial resource curse," Economics Working Papers 1803, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Dec 2023.
    8. Sophie Piton, 2017. "Economic Integration and the Non-tradable Sector: The European Experience," 2017 Papers ppi361, Job Market Papers.
    9. Dissanayake, Ruchith, 2021. "Geographic distribution of firms and expected stock returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    10. Philippe Frocrain & Pierre-Noël Giraud, 2019. "The Evolution of Tradable and Non Tradable Employment: Evidence from France," Post-Print hal-01981428, HAL.
    11. Cardi, Olivier & Restout, Romain, 2023. "Sectoral fiscal multipliers and technology in open economy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    12. Chama CHIPETA & Daniel Francois MEYER, 2018. "Trade Openness, FDI and Exchange Rate Effects on Job Creation in South Africa's Tradable Sectors," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(4), pages 197-212.
    13. Ron Jarmin & CJ Krizan & Adela Luque, 2016. "Small Business Growth and Failure during the Great Recession: The Role of House Prices, Race & Gender," CARRA Working Papers 2016-08, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    14. Philippe Frocrain & Pierre-Noël Giraud, 2017. "The evolution of tradable and non-tradable employment: evidence from France," Working Papers hal-01695159, HAL.
    15. Chama Chipeta, 2022. "Analysing The Employment Effects Of The Exchange Rate, Foreign Direct Investment And Trade Openness On South Africa’S Non-Tradable Sectors," JOURNAL STUDIA UNIVERSITATIS BABES-BOLYAI NEGOTIA, Babes-Bolyai University, Faculty of Business.
    16. Philippe Frocrain & Pierre-Noël Giraud, 2018. "The Evolution of Tradable and Non Tradable Employment: Evidence from France," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 503-504, pages 97-107.
    17. Reda Cherif & Fuad Hasanov, 2019. "The Return of the Policy That Shall Not Be Named: Principles of Industrial Policy," IMF Working Papers 2019/074, International Monetary Fund.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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