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The long-term earnings' effects of a credit market disruption

Author

Listed:
  • Adamopoulou, Effrosyni
  • De Philippis, Marta
  • Sette, Enrico
  • Viviano, Eliana

Abstract

This paper studies the long-term consequences on firms and workers of the credit crunch triggered by the 2007-2008 global financial crisis. Relying on a unique matched bank-employer-employee administrative dataset, we construct a firm-specific credit supply shock and examine firms' and workers' outcomes for 11 years after the crisis. We find that highly-exposed firms shrink permanently and invest less; these effects are larger for high capital-intensive firms. The impact on workers' earnings is also long-lasting, especially for high skilled workers, who are more complementary to capital. Displaced workers reallocate mostly to low capital-intensive firms, experiencing persistent wage losses.

Suggested Citation

  • Adamopoulou, Effrosyni & De Philippis, Marta & Sette, Enrico & Viviano, Eliana, 2023. "The long-term earnings' effects of a credit market disruption," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-048, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:280988
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    Cited by:

    1. Paige Ouimet & Elena Simintzi, 2021. "Wages and Firm Performance: Evidence from the 2008 Financial Crisis [The effect of wage bargains on the stock market value of the firm]," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(2), pages 273-305.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit crunch; employment; wages; long term effects; linked bank-employer-employee panel data; capital-skill complementarity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs

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