IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/rwirep/731.html

Fundamental determinants of real estate prices: A panel study of German regions

Author

Listed:
  • Belke, Ansgar
  • Keil, Jonas

Abstract

This paper aims at establishing empirical facts on the fundamental determinants of real estate prices. It contributes to the literature by analysing a unique panel dataset covering a wide range of real estate market data and other economic variables for nearly 100 German cities. Several robust fundamental determinants are identified, among them the supply-side factors construction activity and housing stock as well as the demandside factors apartment rents, market size, age structure, local infrastructure and rental prices. Results suggest that these factors are robustly linked to fundamental real estate prices and thus can be used to detect misalignments of market prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Belke, Ansgar & Keil, Jonas, 2017. "Fundamental determinants of real estate prices: A panel study of German regions," Ruhr Economic Papers 731, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:rwirep:731
    DOI: 10.4419/86788851
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/173207/1/1011197987.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.4419/86788851?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Aliman Mihai & Popa Radu, 2025. "House Price Determinants in the European Union: The Role of Macroprudential Policy," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 19(1), pages 2802-2815.
    2. Brausewetter, Lars & Thomsen, Stephan L. & Trunzer, Johannes, 2022. "Explaining regional disparities in housing prices across German districts," IWH Discussion Papers 13/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    3. Corinna Ghirelli & Danilo Leiva-León & Alberto Urtasun, 2023. "Housing prices in Spain: convergence or decoupling?," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 165-187, June.
    4. Reichle, Philipp & Fidrmuc, Jarko & Reck, Fabian, 2023. "The sharing economy and housing markets in selected European cities," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    5. Peres Ofori, 2021. "Mortgage market and climate variability adaptation: evidence from the mortgage market in emerging cities," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(12), pages 1-22, December.
    6. Hanli Chen & Yu Zhang & Ningxin Zhang & Man Zhou & Heping Ding, 2022. "Analysis on the Spatial Effect of Infrastructure Development on the Real Estate Price in the Yangtze River Delta," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, June.
    7. Deller, Timo, 2022. "The Economic Upside of Green Real Estate Investments: Analyzing the Impact of Energy Efficiency on Building Valuation in the Residential Sector," Junior Management Science (JUMS), Junior Management Science e. V., vol. 7(3), pages 802-825.
    8. Kadie S. Clark & J. Isaac Miller, 2025. "Effects of Climate Change on House Prices in Outdoor Tourism Destinations: A Case Study of Southwestern Colorado," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), April.
    9. Andreas Hendricks & Peter Lacoere & Erwin van der Krabben & Cynthia Oorschot, 2021. "Limits of Negotiable Developer Obligations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-20, October.
    10. Hin Yu Micah Cheung, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Enriching Regional Economic Dynamics through a Knowledge-Driven Spatial Analysis Model: a Deep Learning Approach," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(3), pages 12293-12336, September.
    11. Engerstam, Sviatlana, 2020. "Macroeconomic determinants of apartment prices in Swedish and German cities," Working Paper Series 20/2, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
    12. Liton (Md) Kamruzzaman & Sanaz Nikfalazar & Fuad Yasin Huda & Dharmalingam Arunachalam & Dickson Lukose, 2025. "Data Typologies in Urban Housing Research: A Systematic Review of the Literature," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-25, May.
    13. Alona Shmygel, 2022. "House Price Bubble Detection in Ukraine," IHEID Working Papers 22-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    14. Joël Vonlanthen, 2023. "Interest rates and real estate prices: a panel study," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 159(1), pages 1-25, December.
    15. Muktar Babatunde Wahab & Wasiu Ayobami Durosinmi & Matthew Mamman & Dodo Usman Zakari & Adetoye Sulaiman Adepoju, 2021. "Macroeconomic Dynamics in Real Estate Market amid Covid-19 Pandemic in Abuja, Nigeria," AfRES 2021-002, African Real Estate Society (AfRES).
    16. Ales Melecky & Daniel Paksi, 2024. "Drivers of European housing prices in the new millennium: demand, financial, and supply determinants," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(3), pages 731-753, August.
    17. Emilia Janeczko & Joanna Budnicka-Kosior & Artur Dawidziuk & Małgorzata Woźnicka & Łukasz Kwaśny & Beata Fornal-Pieniak & Filip Chyliński & Anna Goljan, 2022. "Impact of Forest Landscape on the Price of Development Plots in the Otwock Region, Poland," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-17, November.
    18. Tripathi, Sabyasachi, 2019. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Housing Prices: A Cross Country Level Analysis," MPRA Paper 98089, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. David Mazáček & Jiří Panoš, 2022. "Key determinants of new residential real estate prices in Prague," FFA Working Papers 5.002, Prague University of Economics and Business, revised 11 Apr 2023.
    20. Jason R. Bailey & Davide Lauria & W. Brent Lindquist & Stefan Mittnik & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2022. "Hedonic Models of Real Estate Prices: GAM and Environmental Factors," Papers 2210.14266, arXiv.org.
    21. Nektarios A. Michail & George Thucydides, 2019. "The impact of foreign demand on Cyprus house prices," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 13(2), pages 48-71, December.
    22. Christian Reiner & Robert Musil, 2023. "The regional variation of a housing boom. Disparities of land prices in Austria, 2000–2018 [Die regionale Differenzierung eines Immobilien-Booms. Disparitäten der Baulandpreise in Österreich, 2000–2018]," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 43(1), pages 125-146, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:rwirep:731. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/rwiesde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.