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Bodenbildung in der Binnenwirtschaft, Kollaps des Welthandels

Author

Listed:
  • Felbermayr, Gabriel
  • Hinz, Julian
  • Mahlkow, Hendrik
  • Stamer, Vincent

Abstract

In Deutschland wird der Ausstieg aus dem Corona‐Lockdown, der am 20. April begann, weitergeführt und ausgedehnt. Während des harten Lockdown könnte die Wirtschaftsleistung um etwa 15-20 Prozent unter dem normalen Niveau gelegen haben, mit einer Tendenz der Verschlimmerung über die Zeit. In der Zeit der bereits erfolgten Lockerungen hat Deutschland wirtschaftlich den freien Fall gestoppt und einen Boden gefunden; allerdings auf niedrigem Niveau; das belegen Zahlen aus dem Kieler Datenmonitor Corona‐Krise, z.B. der tägliche Stromverbrauch, das Frachtaufkommen, oder Passantenzahlen in den Innenstädten. Während die Binnenwirtschaft nicht mehr weiter fällt, befindet sich der Welthandel weiterhin in freiem Fall.

Suggested Citation

  • Felbermayr, Gabriel & Hinz, Julian & Mahlkow, Hendrik & Stamer, Vincent, 2020. "Bodenbildung in der Binnenwirtschaft, Kollaps des Welthandels," Kiel Policy Brief Spezial Corona-Update 2, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkpb:spezial-corona-update-2
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/216909/1/KPB-Spezial-Corona-Update-2.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Felbermayr, Gabriel & Hinz, Julian & Mahlkow, Hendrik, 2020. "Deutschlands Wirtschaft seit dem Corona-Lockdown," Kiel Policy Brief Spezial Corona-Update 1, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Kooths, Stefan & Felbermayr, Gabriel, 2020. "Stabilitätspolitik in der Corona-Krise," Kiel Policy Brief 138, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Corona-Krise; COVID19; Konjunktur; Echtzeitindikatoren; Corona crisis; business cycle analysis; real time indicators;
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