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Ein Modell für Finanzkrisen bei Moral Hazard und Überinvestition


  • Schwarze, Nicolas Henrik


Die von der Asienkrise (1997-99) betroffenen Staaten wiesen im Vorfeld der Krise positive Fundamentaldaten auf. Traditionelle Krisentheorien konnten deshalb nicht zur Erklärung der Krise herangezogen werden. In diesem Paper wird ein alternativer Erklärungsansatz für Finanzkrisen in offenen Volkswirtschaften dargelegt. Kern dieses Ansatzes ist eine staatliche Garantie auf Kredite, die Moral Hazard Verhalten bei privaten Akteuren bewirkt. Daraus entsteht eine übermäßige Kreditnahme und Überinvestition in der betrachteten Volkswirtschaft. Es wird gezeigt, wie dadurch eine Krise entstehen kann, die durch Unternehmensinsolvenzen, Outputrückgang und einen starken Verlust von staatlichen Währungsreserven gekennzeichnet ist.

Suggested Citation

  • Schwarze, Nicolas Henrik, 2003. "Ein Modell für Finanzkrisen bei Moral Hazard und Überinvestition," BERG Working Paper Series 44, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bamber:44

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Easterly, William & Fischer, Stanley & DEC, 1994. "The Soviet economic decline : historical and republican data," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1284, The World Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dräger, Lena & Proaño, Christian R., 2015. "Cross-border banking and business cycles in asymmetric currency unions," Discussion Papers 21/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Meyer, Dietmar & Shera, Adela, 2015. "Remittances' impact on the labor supply and on the deficit of current account," BERG Working Paper Series 97, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    3. Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2015. "Evolutionary competition and profit taxes: market stability versus tax burden," BERG Working Paper Series 104, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    4. Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2016. "Herding behavior and volatility clustering in financial markets," BERG Working Paper Series 107, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    5. Schmitt, Noemi & Tuinstra, Jan & Westerhoff, Frank, 2017. "Side effects of nonlinear profit taxes in an evolutionary market entry model: Abrupt changes, coexisting attractors and hysteresis problems," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 15-38.
    6. Fatoke Dato, Mafaizath A., 2015. "Impact of income shock on children’s schooling and labor in a West African country," MPRA Paper 64317, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Fatoke-Dato, Mafaïzath A., 2015. "Impact of an educational demand-and-supply policy on girls' education in West Africa: Heterogeneity in income, school environment and ethnicity," BERG Working Paper Series 101, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    8. Bexheti, Abdylmenaf & Mustafi, Besime, 2015. "Impact of public funding of education on economic growth in Macedonia," BERG Working Paper Series 98, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    9. Proaño, Christian R. & Lojak, Benjamin, 2015. "Debt stabilization and macroeconomic volatility in monetary unions under heterogeneous sovereign risk perceptions," BERG Working Paper Series 106, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    10. Seregi, János & Lelovics, Zsuzsanna & Balogh, László, 2012. "The social welfare function of forests in the light of the theory of public goods," BERG Working Paper Series 87, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation


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