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Derivative Process Model of Development Power in Industry: Empirical Research and Forecast for Chinese Software Industry and US Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Feng Dai

    (Zhengzhou Information Engineering University)

  • Bao- hua Sun

    (Zhengzhou Information Engineering University)

  • Jie Sun

    (Zhengzhou Information Engineering University)

Abstract

Based on concept and theory of Development Power [1], this paper analyzes the transferability and the diffusibility of industrial development power, points out that the chaos is the extreme of DP releasing and order is the highest degree of DP accumulating, puts forward A-C strength, the index of adjusting and controlling strength, and sets up the derivative process model for industrial development power on the Partial Distribution [2]-[4]. By the derivative process model, a kind of time series model, we can describe the process of industrial development effectively, and can forecast the future direction of industry or economy on using with [7]. Finally, by making use of the actual data of Chinese software industry and data of USA GDP (chained) price index, we give the examples of empirical analysis, and forecast the future of Chinese software industry and USA economic development. The conclusions in this paper are believed to be valuable and significant to guide the establishment of the industrial policy and to control the industrial development.

Suggested Citation

  • Feng Dai & Bao- hua Sun & Jie Sun, 2004. "Derivative Process Model of Development Power in Industry: Empirical Research and Forecast for Chinese Software Industry and US Economy," Macroeconomics 0405025, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Jun 2004.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0405025
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. feng dai & Jianqiang Liu, 2004. "Development Power and Derivative Process: A Mode and Theory for Macroeconomy Analysis," Macroeconomics 0403015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Cited by:

    1. Feng Dai, 2004. "The Soft Engine for Economic Growth in a Long-Time:The Economic Development Power, Conversion and Conservation for economic Energy," Macroeconomics 0411009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Feng, Dai, 2006. "Developower: The Potential Motivity in Economic Process," MPRA Paper 115, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Oct 2006.
    3. feng dai, 2005. "Boating Against the Current: Cases, Concepts, Models and Development Power," Econometrics 0503003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Feng Dai & Hui Liu & Zifu Qin, 2005. "The Logarithm Model of Development Power: A Tool to Analyze the Motivity of Economic Growth," Macroeconomics 0505022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. feng dai, 2005. "The Golden Growth Law in Economic Process," Development and Comp Systems 0511014, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    1. Feng Dai, 2004. "The Soft Engine for Economic Growth in a Long-Time:The Economic Development Power, Conversion and Conservation for economic Energy," Macroeconomics 0411009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Feng Dai & Hui Liu & Zifu Qin, 2005. "The Logarithm Model of Development Power: A Tool to Analyze the Motivity of Economic Growth," Macroeconomics 0505022, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    development power (DP); partial distribution; derivative process; industry and macroeconomy; empirical research; forecast analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

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