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Testing The Causal Relationship Between Domestic Credit And Reserve Components Of A Country'S Monetary Base


  • Edgar L. Feige

    (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

  • James M. Johannes

    (University of Wisconsin-Madison)


An important factor that helps distinquish between alternative balance of payments theories is the assumed causal relationship between the domestic credit and reserve components of a country's monetary base. This paper reports test results of this causal relationship in Austrailia, Belgium, France, Germany, Norway and Sweden. Three causal detection methods are used: the haugh test, the granger test and the Sims test. Two conclusions are drawn. First, the causal relationship does not run unidirectionally from domestic credit to reserves as the Monetary Approach to the Balance of Paymewnts and many tests of that approach assume. Second, the results are quite robust across alternative causality tests.

Suggested Citation

  • Edgar L. Feige & James M. Johannes, 2004. "Testing The Causal Relationship Between Domestic Credit And Reserve Components Of A Country'S Monetary Base," International Finance 0404016, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpif:0404016
    Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 22

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    More about this item


    Causality tests; Monetary approach to balance of payments; domestic credit; reserves; monetary base;

    JEL classification:

    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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