A Panel Data Analysis of General Elections Under Multi Party Electoral College
We analyze the probability of an incumbents winning in the consecutive election, under the assumption that all individual candidates are equally likely (i.e. random selection) when they are from the same party. We estimate the probability of winning by ruling party. Using Indian panel data from 1967-1999. We find that incumbents have better log-odds if they contest on behalf of national parties , researved seats and with higher polling percentage.
|Date of creation:||20 Apr 2003|
|Date of revision:|
|Note:||Type of Document - pdf; prepared on Suse-Linux PdfLatex; to print on HP/PostScript; pages: 22 ; figures: included.|
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