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Recovery in the NMS, Decline in the CIS

Author

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  • Gabor Hunya

    () (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw)

  • Monika Schwarzhappel

    () (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw)

Abstract

Content The first part of the publication contains an analysis of the latest FDI trends. The analysis highlights the modest recovery of FDI in 2014. The second part of the publication contains two sets of tables Tables I total flow and stock data, FDI flow by components and FDI income, FDI per capita and other FDI reference parameter (2006-2014) Tables II detailed FDI data by economic activity and by country (last four years) The main sources of data are the central banks of the individual Central, East and Southeast European countries. General Description (PDF) | Table of contents (PDF) Abstract The first part of this report provides an analysis of the 2014 foreign direct investment (FDI) trends in 23 Central, East and Southeast European (CESEE) countries, highlighting uneven developments. FDI inflows recovered in the new EU Member States (NMS), stagnated in the Southeast European countries and plummeted in Russia and Ukraine. Greenfield investments have declined in all three regions, but capital increases in foreign subsidiaries gathered momentum in the NMS. Even in this region, FDI inflow is still meagre in relation to gross fixed capital formation thus FDI is not a major driver of economic recovery. The countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), as well as Latvia and Lithuania, are receiving much less foreign investment than before, in the wake of the Ukraine crisis. Capital flight has hit Russia. Net FDI in the country has become negative as inflows declined by two thirds while outflows diminished only by one third. Chinese FDI contributes only a minor fraction to the FDI stock in the CESEE, but it is on the rise. More and larger greenfield projects originating in China and Hong Kong have been announced recently, first of all in Russia. Forecasts for economic growth in 2015 suggest a further recovery of FDI in the NMS, although first-quarter trends in FDI flows and greenfield investments do not support this expectation. The second part of this report contains two sets of tables Tables I cover FDI flow and stock data, FDI flows by components and related income; Tables II provide detailed FDI data by economic activity and by country. The main sources of data are the central banks of the individual Central, East and Southeast European countries. Methodological explanations highlight important recent changes in reporting standards. The wiiw FDI Database is available online This online access with a modern query tool supports easy search and download of data. The wiiw FDI Database contains the full set of FDI data with time series starting form 1990 as far as available. Access to wiiw FDI Database

Suggested Citation

  • Gabor Hunya & Monika Schwarzhappel, 2015. "Recovery in the NMS, Decline in the CIS," wiiw FDI Reports 2015-06, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
  • Handle: RePEc:wii:fdirep:fdi:2015-06
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    File URL: https://wiiw.ac.at/recovery-in-the-nms-decline-in-the-cis-dlp-3592.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Landesmann & Doris Hanzl-Weiss, 2016. "Correcting external imbalances in the European economy," Chapters,in: Boosting European Competitiveness, chapter 3, pages 14-36 Edward Elgar Publishing.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    foreign direct investment; balance of payments; income repatriation; statistics; new EU Member States; Southeast Europe; CIS;

    JEL classification:

    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries
    • P23 - Economic Systems - - Socialist Systems and Transition Economies - - - Factor and Product Markets; Industry Studies; Population

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