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Welfare dynamics in Colombia : results from synthetic panels

Author

Listed:
  • Balcazar,Carlos Felipe
  • Dang,Hai-Anh H.
  • Malasquez Carbonel,Eduardo Alonso
  • Olivieri,Sergio Daniel
  • Pico,Julieth

Abstract

This study explores the short-run transitions between poverty, vulnerability, and middle class, using synthetic panels constructed from multiple rounds of Colombia's Integrated Household Survey (in Spanish Gran Encuesta Integrada de Hogares). The paper reports results from two approaches to define a vulnerability line: the first one employs a nonparametric and parsimonious model, while the second utilizes a fully parametric regression model with covariates. The estimation results suggest a range of between $8 to $13 per day per person in 2005 purchasing power parity dollars as the vulnerability line. Using an average daily vulnerability line of $10 per day per person, subsequent estimates on welfare dynamics suggest that, during the past decade, 20 percent of the Colombian population experienced downward mobility, and 24 percent experienced upward mobility. Furthermore, upward mobility increases with higher education levels and is lower for female-headed households.

Suggested Citation

  • Balcazar,Carlos Felipe & Dang,Hai-Anh H. & Malasquez Carbonel,Eduardo Alonso & Olivieri,Sergio Daniel & Pico,Julieth, 2018. "Welfare dynamics in Colombia : results from synthetic panels," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8441, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:8441
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    Cited by:

    1. Dang,Hai-Anh H., 2018. "To impute or not to impute ? a review of alternative poverty estimation methods in the context of unavailable consumption data," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8403, The World Bank.
    2. Hai-Anh H. Dang, 2019. "To impute or not to impute, and how? A review of alternative poverty estimation methods in the context of unavailable consumption data," Working Papers 507, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.

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