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The Impact of Inflation Rate Announcements on the Interest Rate Volatility: Australian Evidence

Author

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  • Param Silvapulle

    (School of Economics, La Trobe University)

  • Robert Pereira

    (School of Economics, La Trobe University)

  • J.H.H. Lee

    (School of Economics, La Trobe University)

Abstract

Australian interest rate volatility is modelled to examine the effect of quarterly inflation rate announcements on interest rate volatility. The data used in this empirical analysis consists of the daily closing rates for 90 day Australian treasury bills from 3 July 1985 to 31 December 1993. Using model selection and various diagnostic procedures, an integrated EGARCH— M model is found to be the appropriate process to explain the time—varying volatility of interest rates. The results in this study suggest there is a significant news effect on interest rate volatility, apparently due to the unanticipated component of the inflation rate announcement. Evidence is provided in support of the efficient markets hypothesis.
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Suggested Citation

  • Param Silvapulle & Robert Pereira & J.H.H. Lee, 1993. "The Impact of Inflation Rate Announcements on the Interest Rate Volatility: Australian Evidence," Working Papers 1993.26, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
    • Handle: RePEc:trb:wpaper:1993.26
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Grossman, Jacob, 1981. "The "Rationality" of Money Supply Expectations and the Short-Run Response of Interest Rates to Monetary Surprises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 13(4), pages 409-424, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ellis Connolly & Marion Kohler, 2004. "News and Interest Rate Expectations: A Study of Six Central Banks," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Christopher Kent & Simon Guttmann (ed.),The Future of Inflation Targeting, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    2. Mr. Armando Méndez Morales & Miss Liliana B Schumacher, 2003. "Market Volatility As a Financial Soundness Indicator: An Application to Israel," IMF Working Papers 2003/047, International Monetary Fund.
    3. M. D. Mckenzie & R. D. Brooks, 2003. "The role of information in Hong Kong individual stock futures trading," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 123-131.

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