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Corporate Legacy Debt, Inflation, and the Efficacy of Monetary Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Charles A.E. Goodhart

    (London School of Economics)

  • M. Udara Peiris

    (Oberlin College)

  • Dimitrios P. Tsomocos

    (University of Oxford)

  • Xuan Wang

    (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

Abstract

We posit that corporate legacy debt limits monetary policy’s effect on inflation because households are heterogeneous: some hold that debt and supply labor to firms, while others own corporate equity. When policy is contractionary, the debt creates an income effect for the households, which dampens the decline in aggregate demand and flattens the aggregate supply curve. This weakens the disinflationary effect of policy and reduces output, worsening the inflation-output trade-off. We provide empirical evidence consistent with the model’s predictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles A.E. Goodhart & M. Udara Peiris & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos & Xuan Wang, 2024. "Corporate Legacy Debt, Inflation, and the Efficacy of Monetary Policy," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-071/VI, Tinbergen Institute, revised 22 May 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20240071
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    Cited by:

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    2. Goodhart, Charles A.E. & Tsomocos, Dimitrios P. & Wang, Xuan, 2023. "Bank credit, inflation, and default risks over an infinite horizon," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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