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A Monetary Disequilibrium Model for Turkey : Investigation of a Disinflationary Fiscal Rule and its Implications on Monetary Policy

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  • K. Azim Ozdemir

Abstract

In this paper we present a monetary disequilibrium model based on Khan and Knight�s framework, estimate it for the Turkish economy and run several simulation experiments. The simulation results show the importance of fiscal discipline to achieve the objectives such as to sustain the disinflation process and to reduce the high budget deficit in Turkey. In the long term perspective, however, we conclude that tight fiscal policies should be mixed with either monetary or debt management policy to avoid the excessive monetary contraction as the real demand for broad money increases with the disinflation process.

Suggested Citation

  • K. Azim Ozdemir, 2005. "A Monetary Disequilibrium Model for Turkey : Investigation of a Disinflationary Fiscal Rule and its Implications on Monetary Policy," Working Papers 0507, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcb:wpaper:0507
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    File URL: https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/EN/TCMB+EN/Main+Menu/Publications/Research/Working+Paperss/2005/05-07
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    Cited by:

    1. Günçavdi, Öner & Küçük, Ali Erhan, 2013. "Investment expenditure and capital accumulation in an inflationary environment: The case of Turkey," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 554-571.
    2. Levent Korap, 2006. "An Analysis of Central Bank Interventions on Forex Market For The Post-Crisis Period," Working Papers 2006/4, Turkish Economic Association.
    3. Durmus Ozdemir & Mustafa Kemal Gündoğdu, 2012. "Structural Macro econometric Model of Turkey; Impact of Structural Characteristics on Macroeconomic Indicators," EcoMod2012 3886, EcoMod.

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