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The challenging estimation of trade elasticities: Tackling the inconclusive Eurozone evidence

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  • Sascha Keil

    (Chemnitz University of Technology)

Abstract

This paper sheds light on serious methodological difficulties of employing the empiric export equation in order to derive long-run trade elasticities. The unreliable estimated price coefficient (Kaldor Paradox) and the potential presence of cointegration are identified as the most relevant points. It can be shown that difficulties are in part due to methodological issues. New empirical evidence, encompassing eleven Euro area countries and the timespan 1995– 2019, has been obtained from different cointegration techniques. In seven out of eleven cases a robust long-run relationship can be detected and price elasticity was consistently found being significant and negative.

Suggested Citation

  • Sascha Keil, 2021. "The challenging estimation of trade elasticities: Tackling the inconclusive Eurozone evidence," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0261, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    • Handle: RePEc:rtr:wpaper:0261
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Keil, Sascha, 2024. "Competing for manufacturing value added: How strong is competitive cost pressure on sectoral level?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 197-212.
    3. Keil, Sascha, 2024. "Assessing the role of non-price factors: Shedding new light on the European competitiveness puzzle," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    4. Xian‐nan Cheng & Shuhui Wen & Nuobing Fan & Yuwei Liu & Yujing Wang, 2024. "What's the influence of input's variation? Estimating the input elasticity in the global value chain," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(5), pages 2034-2062, May.
    5. Sascha Keil & Walter Paternesi Meloni, 2024. "Kaldorian cumulative causation in the Euro area: an empirical assessment of divergent export competitiveness," Chemnitz Economic Papers 063, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology.
    6. Rial, Adrián & Herrero, Daniel & Paternesi Meloni, Walter, 2025. "Navigating competitiveness in Mediterranean countries: drivers of manufacturing exports by technological intensity," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    7. Lorena Skuflic & Filip Novinc, 2026. "Unit Labour Cost as an Indicator of Competitiveness: Theoretical Perspectives on Reconciling Methodological Challenges," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 79-97.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General

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