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Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Model with Staggered Wage Contracts

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  • David Backus

Abstract

A Dornbusch model with overlapping multi-period wage contracts and rational expectations is specified and estimated with Canadian and U.S. data. Estimated wage-price dynamics imply a typical contract length of about six quarters. Simulations indicate: 1) the exchange rate overshoots following a permanent money supply shock; 2) managed floating exacerbates the impact of foreign business cycles on the Canadian economy; 3) anticipated cold-turkey disinflation is fairly cheap in terms of lost output.

Suggested Citation

  • David Backus, 1984. "Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Model with Staggered Wage Contracts," Working Paper 561, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    • Handle: RePEc:qed:wpaper:561
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    Cited by:

    1. Ambler, Steven & Cardia, Emanuela & Phaneuf, Louis, 1992. "Contrats de salaire, croissance endogène et fluctuations," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 68(1), pages 175-204, mars et j.
    2. Kollman, R., 1996. "The Exchange Rate in a Dynamic-Optimizing Current Account Model with Nominal Rigidities: A Quantitative Investigation," Cahiers de recherche 9614, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    3. Graham, Liam & Snower, Dennis J., 2004. "The real effects of money growth in dynamic general equilibrium," Working Paper Series 412, European Central Bank.
    4. Kollman, R., 1996. "The Exchange Rate in a Dynamic-Optimizing Current Account Model with Nominal Rigidities: a Quantitative Investigation," Cahiers de recherche 9614, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    5. Taylor, John B., 1999. "Staggered price and wage setting in macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 1009-1050, Elsevier.
    6. Taylor, J.B., 2016. "The Staying Power of Staggered Wage and Price Setting Models in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2009-2042, Elsevier.
    7. Louis Phaneuf & Steve Ambler, 1994. "Modèles du cycle économique et marché du travail," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 45(4), pages 1065-1078.

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