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Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Model with Staggered Wage Contracts

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  • David Backus

Abstract

A Dornbusch model with overlapping multi-period wage contracts and rational expectations is specified and estimated with Canadian and U.S. data. Estimated wage-price dynamics imply a typical contract length of about six quarters. Simulations indicate: 1) the exchange rate overshoots following a permanent money supply shock; 2) managed floating exacerbates the impact of foreign business cycles on the Canadian economy; 3) anticipated cold-turkey disinflation is fairly cheap in terms of lost output.

Suggested Citation

  • David Backus, 1984. "Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Model with Staggered Wage Contracts," Working Paper 561, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    • Handle: RePEc:qed:wpaper:561
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    Cited by:

    1. Ambler, Steven & Cardia, Emanuela & Phaneuf, Louis, 1992. "Contrats de salaire, croissance endogène et fluctuations," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 68(1), pages 175-204, mars et j.
    2. Kollmann, R., 1996. "The Exchange rate in a Dynamic-Optimizing Current Account Model with Nominal Rigidities : A Quantitative Investigation," Other publications TiSEM c9241581-7b87-4f50-ab98-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    3. Louis Phaneuf & Steve Ambler, 1994. "Modèles du cycle économique et marché du travail," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 45(4), pages 1065-1078.
    4. Taylor, John B., 1999. "Staggered price and wage setting in macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 1009-1050, Elsevier.
    5. Graham, Liam & Snower, Dennis J., 2004. "The real effects of money growth in dynamic general equilibrium," Working Paper Series 412, European Central Bank.
    6. Taylor, J.B., 2016. "The Staying Power of Staggered Wage and Price Setting Models in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2009-2042, Elsevier.

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