سيناريوهات إعادة إعمار قطاع غزة بعد العدوان: دراسة استشرافية[“Reconstruction Scenarios for the Gaza Strip after the Aggression: A Prospective Study”]

This study is of utmost importance as it examines the direct impacts (losses and damages) on the economic, social, and service sectors of the Gaza Strip and contributes to providing a concrete proposal based on an empirical approach to the expected reconstruction and recovery scenarios after the war. The study is based on a purely positivist methodology in order to avoid any standard proposals and formulate a more specific approach that reviews reconstruction scenarios according to the available local, international, and regional data. This is done in light of the specific role of occupation authorities in terms of their relationship with the Gaza Strip. The study concludes that recovery and reconstruction may require around 54 billion US dollars, including housing, economic recovery, relief interventions, emergency shelter, and support for vital and health sectors. Under the optimistic scenario, the reconstruction process may require 8 years of intensive and organized work in parallel with the availability of international will and necessary funding, not to mention the necessity of lifting the occupation's restrictions on crossings and the entry of building materials and heavy machinery. True reconstruction can only be discussed within an integrated package of liberation development that includes, in addition to recovery, strengthening the Palestinian presence.