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Impact of Changes in Tariffs on Developing Countries' Government Revenue

  • Przemyslaw Kowalski

This paper addresses tariff revenue concerns that some countries have been expressing in the context of the current multilateral trade negotiations under the Doha Development Agenda. This paper: discusses methodological issues associated with estimating revenue impacts; provides impact estimates for a sample of developing countries; links the differences in impacts to cross-country differences in existing tariff regimes as well as properties of formulas for tariff cuts; and, discusses efficient tax replacement policies and past experiences. Additionally, the paper presents results of a simulation of the welfare effects of reducing tariffs and simultaneously replacing lost tariff revenues with revenues from consumption tax. It concludes with some policy implications.

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File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/210755276421
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Paper provided by OECD Publishing in its series OECD Trade Policy Papers with number 18.

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Date of creation: 18 Apr 2005
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Handle: RePEc:oec:traaab:18-en
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