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The Effects of Cryptocurrency Wealth on Household Consumption and Investment

Author

Listed:
  • Darren Aiello
  • Scott R. Baker
  • Tetyana Balyuk
  • Marco Di Maggio
  • Mark J. Johnson
  • Jason D. Kotter

Abstract

This paper uses transaction-level data across millions of accounts to identify cryptocurrency investors and evaluate how fluctuations in individual crypto wealth affect household consumption, equity investment, and local real estate markets. We estimate an MPC out of unrealized crypto gains that is more than double the MPC out of unrealized equity gains but smaller than the MPC from exogenous cash flow shocks. This MPC is mostly driven by increases in cash/check spending and mortgages. Moreover, households sell crypto to increase both discretionary as well as housing spending. As a result, crypto wealth causes house price appreciation—counties with higher crypto wealth see higher growth in home values following high crypto returns. Our results indicate that cryptocurrencies have substantial spillover effects on the real economy through consumption and investment into other asset classes.

Suggested Citation

  • Darren Aiello & Scott R. Baker & Tetyana Balyuk & Marco Di Maggio & Mark J. Johnson & Jason D. Kotter, 2023. "The Effects of Cryptocurrency Wealth on Household Consumption and Investment," NBER Working Papers 31445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:31445
    Note: AP CF
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    Cited by:

    1. Di Casola, Paola & Habib, Maurizio Michael & Tercero-Lucas, David, 2023. "Global and local drivers of Bitcoin trading vis-à-vis fiat currencies," Working Paper Series 2868, European Central Bank.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G50 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - General
    • G51 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - Household Savings, Borrowing, Debt, and Wealth
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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