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Cross-State Strategic Voting

Author

Listed:
  • Gordon B. Dahl
  • Joseph Engelberg
  • Runjing Lu
  • William Mullins

Abstract

We estimate 3% of the U.S. voter population is registered to vote in two states. Which state these double-registrants choose to vote in reflects incentives and costs, being more prevalent in swing states (higher incentive) and states which automatically send out mail-in ballots (lower cost). We call this behavior cross-state strategic voting (CSSV) and estimate there were 317,000 such votes in the 2020 presidential election. Because both Democrats and Republicans engaged in CSSV, the net effect was small, although it could matter in closer elections (e.g., Florida in 2000) or if one party increased CSSV relative to the other.

Suggested Citation

  • Gordon B. Dahl & Joseph Engelberg & Runjing Lu & William Mullins, 2023. "Cross-State Strategic Voting," NBER Working Papers 30972, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:30972
    Note: LE PE POL
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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