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Pricing Without Mispricing

Author

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  • Tobias J. Moskowitz
  • Robert F. Stambaugh

Abstract

We test whether a model could price assets if the market were efficient. Specifically, we test whether a model assigns zero alpha to a strategy that uses only decade-old information, which even an inefficient market would correctly price. Persistence in the strategy’s multifactor betas gives our test power. Multifactor betas can help capture mispricing, but persistence in those betas then leads the multifactor model to distort expected returns well after that information gets priced correctly. The CAPM passes our test, but prominent multifactor models do not.

Suggested Citation

  • Tobias J. Moskowitz & Robert F. Stambaugh, 2021. "Pricing Without Mispricing," NBER Working Papers 29016, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:29016
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    Cited by:

    1. Baba-Yara, Fahiz & Boons, Martijn & Tamoni, Andrea, 2024. "Persistent and transitory components of firm characteristics: Implications for asset pricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    2. Ghazi, Soroush & Schneider, Mark, 2024. "Market value of rarity: A theory of fair value and evidence from rare baseball cards," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 219(C), pages 318-339.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G40 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - General

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