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Self-Selection and International Migration: New Evidence from Mexico

  • Robert Kaestner
  • Ofer Malamud

This paper uses data from the Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS) to examine the patterns of selection of male, Mexican migrants to the United States. We confirm previous findings that Mexican migrants are selected from the middle of the education distribution, but show that there is no evidence for selection of migrants on cognitive ability. We demonstrate that migrants are also selected from the middle of the observed skill distribution, as measured by predicted wages. However, controlling for proxies of the costs of migration, we find substantially less evidence of "intermediate selection" on observed skill. We find little evidence for selection on unobserved skill, with or without controls for the costs of migration. Finally, we show directly that the decision to migrate is highly correlated with differential returns to observable skill and the costs of migration. Overall, these findings are consistent with the predictions of the canonical model of migration.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 15765.

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Date of creation: Feb 2010
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Publication status: published as Kaestner, Robert and Ofer Malamud. (forthcoming). “Self-selection and International Migration: New Evidence from Mexico.” Review of Economics and Statistics.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:15765
Note: LS
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