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Financial Innovation and the Control of Monetary Aggregates: Some Evidence from Canada

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  • Robert E. Lucas, Jr.

Abstract

This paper presents an empirical test of the proposition that control of a monetary aggregate will generate a rise in its velocity.The test is carried out utilizing the Canadian experience of controlling Ml growth from 1975:3 to 1982:3. Section One of the paper presents evidence of the instability of the Canadian demand from Ml money since 1975:3. Section Two develops a specific form of the proposition which emphasizes the role of asset substitution between classes of chartered bank deposits. A relative asset demand equation is derived from a wealth maximization model subject to a technological transactions constraint and this equation is estimated from 1961 through 1982.The results lend support to the proposition that central bank control of Ml generated a rise in Ml velocity.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert E. Lucas, Jr., 1983. "Financial Innovation and the Control of Monetary Aggregates: Some Evidence from Canada," NBER Working Papers 1157, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1157
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Short, Brock K & Villanueva, Delano P, 1977. "Further Evidence on the Role of Savings Deposits as Money in Canada," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 9(3), pages 437-446, August.
    2. Moroney, John R & Wilbratte, Barry J, 1976. "Money and Money Substitutes: A Time Series Analysis of Household Portfolios," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 8(2), pages 181-198, May.
    3. Breusch, T S & Pagan, A R, 1979. "A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(5), pages 1287-1294, September.
    4. Brunner, Karl & Meltzer, Allan H., 1980. "On the state of macroeconomics," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 1-5, January.
    5. Friedman, Benjamin M., 1979. "Optimal expectations and the extreme information assumptions of `rational expectations' macromodels," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 23-41, January.
    6. Laidler, David, 1980. "The demand for money in the United States-- Yet again," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 219-271, January.
    7. Freedman, C, 1983. "Financial Innovation in Canada: Causes and Consequences," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(2), pages 101-106, May.
    8. Allan W. Gregory & James G. Mackinnon, 1980. "Where's My Cheque? A Note on Postal Strikes and the Demand for Money in Canada," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 13(4), pages 683-687, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael D. Bordo & Ehsan U. Choudhri & Anna J. Schwartz, 1984. "Money Growth Variability and Money Supply Interdependence Under InterestRate Control: Some Evidence For Canada," NBER Working Papers 1480, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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