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The History of Manpower Forecasting in Modelling Labour Market

Author

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  • Stefano Spalletti

    (Università di Macerata)

Abstract

The manpower forecasting approach (MFA) was one of the first attempts in educational planning purposes. Manpower planners attempted: 1) to calculate the demand for manpower classified by occupation; 2) to convert this classification of demand by occupation into demand by educational attainment; 3) to devise plans and policies aimed at equating projected demands and probable supplies. The paper recalls the basic principles of the MFA from the perspective of the history of the economic thought and attempts to clarify why there was a virtual failure in MFA during the 1960s.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefano Spalletti, 2008. "The History of Manpower Forecasting in Modelling Labour Market," Working Papers 18-2008, Macerata University, Department of Studies on Economic Development (DiSSE), revised Nov 2008.
    • Handle: RePEc:mcr:wpaper:wpaper00018
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    File URL: http://www.unimc.it/sviluppoeconomico/wpaper/wpaper00018/filePaper
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Teixeira, Pedro N., 2016. "Jacob Mincer: The Founding Father of Modern Labor Economics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198779940.
    2. Van Adams, Arvil & Middleton, John & Ziderman, Adrian, 1992. "Manpower planning in a market economy with labor market signals," Policy Research Working Paper Series 837, The World Bank.
    3. August C. Bolino, 1968. "Education, Manpower, and Economic Growth," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(3), pages 323-341, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tobias Maier & Anke M�nnig & Gerd Zika, 2015. "Labour Demand In Germany By Industrial Sector, Occupational Field And Qualification Until 2025 - Model Calculations Using The Iab/Inforge Model," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1), pages 19-42, March.
    2. Jasmin Thomas, 2015. "Review of Best Practices in Labour Market Forecasting with an Application to the Canadian Aboriginal Population," CSLS Research Reports 2015-16, Centre for the Study of Living Standards.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    manpower planning; economic development; labour market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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