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Resource booms, growth and poverty in Laos : What can we learn from other countries and policy simulations?

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  • Phouphet Kyophilavong
  • Chanthachone Senesouphap
  • Somnack Yawdhacksa

Abstract

Laos is a small, open, least-developed country (LDC) in Southeast Asia. However, it is a resource-rich economy with over 570 identified mineral deposits. As a result, Laos has experienced massive inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the mining and hydroelectricity sectors since 2003. Despite the likelihood that resource booms will carry both positive and negative impacts on the Lao economy, this issue has been underresearched in Laos. This study thus lays out a framework to quantify the impacts of resource booms on the macro economy and on poverty in Laos using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. We find that the higher capital stock and productivity led to increased value added, production, exports and investment in the mining sector, resulting in higher real GDP, exports and investment. Unfortunately, the associated Dutch disease effects (particularly real exchange rate appreciation) negatively impact real production and value added in agriculture, industry and government services.

Suggested Citation

  • Phouphet Kyophilavong & Chanthachone Senesouphap & Somnack Yawdhacksa, 2013. "Resource booms, growth and poverty in Laos : What can we learn from other countries and policy simulations?," Working Papers MPIA 2013-05, PEP-MPIA.
    • Handle: RePEc:lvl:mpiacr:2013-05
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    Cited by:

    1. Taguchi, Hiroyuki & Soukvisan, Khinsamone, 2017. "Analysis of the “Dutch Disease” effect: The case of resource-rich ASEAN economies," MPRA Paper 81010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2018. "Analysis of the “Dutch Disease” effect and public financial management: the case of Mongolia," MPRA Paper 86561, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Sthabandith Insisienmay & Vanthana Nolintha & Innwon Park, 2015. "Dutch disease in the Lao economy: Diagnosis and treatment," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 18(4), pages 403-423, December.
    4. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Soukvisan Khinsamone, 2018. "Analysis of the ‘Dutch Disease’ Effect on the Selected Resource†Rich ASEAN Economies," Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(2), pages 249-263, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Resource boom; CGE model; Dutch disease; Laos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • Q33 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Resource Booms (Dutch Disease)

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