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Changements climatiques et position concurrentielle: le cas de l'agriculture du Québec

  • Lota D.Tamini
  • Frédérick Clerson
  • Maurice Doyon
  • Guy Debailleul

Les changements climatiques provoqueront des modifications des conditions de la production agricole qui devraient se traduire par des impacts sur les rendements et les coûts de production des agriculteurs québécois. Ainsi, la position concurrentielle du Québec pourrait se trouver modifiée par rapport à d’autres régions productrices. À l’aide de la méthode Delphi et de budgets partiels, des scénarios d’impacts de changements climatiques à l’horizon 2050 ont été élaborés et leur impact sur la position concurrentielle du Québec et de ses principales régions concurrentes a été établi. Les résultats de l’étude montrent que la position concurrentielle du Québec devrait s’améliorer ou se maintenir pour les productions sous étude grâce à des conditions de production plus favorables au Québec (maïs-grain et pommes) ou à des conditions de production plus défavorables dans les régions compétitrices (sirop d’érable).

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Paper provided by CREATE in its series Cahiers de recherche CREATE with number 2014-5.

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Date of creation: 2014
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:lvl:creacr:2014-5
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Faculté des sciences de l'agriculture et de l'alimentation, Pavillon Paul-Comtois, 2425 rue de l'Agriculture, local 4424, Québec, Qc, G1V 0A6

Phone: 418-656-2131 poste 5098
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