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Age, Desires and the Implicit Role of Out-Selection Factors of International Migration

Author

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  • Michel Beine

    (Department of Economics and Management, Université du Luxembourg)

Abstract

In this note, I attempt to isolate the role of age as a self-selection factor of international migration. I estimate the role of age on intended emigration rather than on observed outcomes of migration. I use individual measures of intended emigration drawn from a large-scale survey conducted by Gallup. I find evidence of a monotonic negative effect on desired emigration for the working-age population. The estimations point to a very robust effect suggesting that an additional year of age decreases the probability of intended emigration by about 0.5%. This effect is robust over different periods of time and for most types of countries of origin. The results contrast with previous evidence obtained on observed outcomes of migration, suggesting that out-selection factors interact with age and shape the demographic profile of migrants.

Suggested Citation

  • Michel Beine, 2020. "Age, Desires and the Implicit Role of Out-Selection Factors of International Migration," DEM Discussion Paper Series 20-22, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
    • Handle: RePEc:luc:wpaper:20-22
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10993/45964
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    Cited by:

    1. Michel Beine & Michel Bierlaire & Frédéric Docquier, 2021. "New York, Abu Dhabi, London or Stay at Home? Using a Cross-Nested Logit Model to Identify Complex Substitution Patterns in Migration," LISER Working Paper Series 2021-01, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Age; International Migration; Intended Emigration; Logit; Large-scale Survey.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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