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Select Birth Cohorts

Author

Listed:
  • MacMinn, Richard
  • Weber, Frederik

Abstract

Worldwide demographic changes and their implications for governments, corporations, and individuals have been in the focus of public interest for quite some time due to the fiscal risk related to adequate retirement benefits. Through a more detailed analysis of mortality data an additional type of risk can be identified: differences in mortality improvements by birth year, also known as "cohort effects." Previous contributions have, however, not formalized a suitable measure to further investigate mortality improvements but rather relied on graphical representations without particular focus on individual cohorts but groups of the overall population. No criterion to identify single birth year cohorts as select has been established. A simple criterion for identifying select cohorts is proposed and used here to what country mortality data reveals about the mortality and longevity experience of cohorts. Select cohorts are rare but can be quite different from surrounding cohorts and so may generate financial risks that need to be hedged naturally or artificially with new ART instruments.

Suggested Citation

  • MacMinn, Richard & Weber, Frederik, 2009. "Select Birth Cohorts," Discussion Papers in Business Administration 9207, University of Munich, Munich School of Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:lmu:msmdpa:9207
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    File URL: https://epub.ub.uni-muenchen.de/9207/2/2009-03_Select_Birth_Cohorts.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Willets, R. C., 2004. "The Cohort Effect: Insights and Explanations," British Actuarial Journal, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(4), pages 833-877, October.
    2. Richards, S. J. & Kirkby, J. G. & Currie, I. D., 2006. "The Importance of Year of Birth in Two-Dimensional Mortality Data," British Actuarial Journal, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 5-38, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Murphy, 2010. "Reexamining the Dominance of Birth Cohort Effects on Mortality," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 36(2), pages 365-390, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    mortality improvement; longevity trend; select cohort; longevity risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior
    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • N3 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy

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