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Bootstrap Panel Granger-Causality Between Government Spending and Revenue

Author

Listed:
  • António Afonso
  • Cristophe Rault

Abstract

Using bootstrap panel analysis, allowing for cross-country correlation, without the need of pre-testing for unit roots, we study the causality between government revenue and spending for the EU in the period 1960-2006. Spend-and-tax causality is found for Italy, France, Spain, Greece, and Portugal, while tax-and-spend evidence is present for Germany, Belgium, Austria Finland and the UK, and for several EU New Member States.

Suggested Citation

  • António Afonso & Cristophe Rault, 2008. "Bootstrap Panel Granger-Causality Between Government Spending and Revenue," Working Papers Department of Economics 2008/39, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    • Handle: RePEc:ise:isegwp:wp392008
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Georgeta VINTILA & Ioana Laura TIBULCA, 2014. "Can the Corporate Tax Burden be used to predict the Evolution of Business Confidence?," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 62(1), pages 143-150, January.
    2. Yousef Elyasi & Mohammad Rahimi, 2012. "The Causality between Government Revenue and Government Expenditure in Iran," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 5(1), pages 129-145, April.
    3. Salebu, Jefry Batara, 2014. "Pengaruh Penanaman Modal Asing Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia: Analisis Data Panel Periode 1994-2013 [The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Indonesian Economic Growth: Panel Data an," MPRA Paper 72830, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    panel causality; fiscal policy; EU.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

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