IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc113718.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Agricultural land abandonment in the EU within 2015-2030

Author

Listed:

Abstract

In the period 2015-2030 about 11% (more than 20 million ha) of agricultural land in the EU are under high potential risk of abandonment due to factors, related to biophysical land suitability, farm structure and agricultural viability, population and regional specifics. The risk for around 800 thousand ha (0.4%), located in Southern and Eastern Romania, Southwestern France, Southern and central Spain, Portugal, Cyprus, Poland, Latvia and Estonia, is particularly severe. Economic factor and market instruments (including the EU Common Agricultural Policy) could largely mitigate those potential risks in a number, mostly Eastern countries and regions – Estonia, Latvia, Romania, Cyprus. The incremental abandonment within 2015-2030 is nevertheless projected to reach 4.2 million ha net (about 280 thousand ha per year on average) of agricultural land, bringing the total abandoned land to 5.6 million ha by 2030, the equivalent of 3% of total agricultural land.

Suggested Citation

  • Carolina Perpina Castillo & Boyan Kavalov & Vasco Diogo & Chris Jacobs-Crisioni & Filipe Batista e Silva & Carlo Lavalle, 2018. "Agricultural land abandonment in the EU within 2015-2030," JRC Research Reports JRC113718, Joint Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc113718
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC113718
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chris Jacobs-Crisioni & Vasco Diogo & Carolina Perpina Castillo & Claudia Baranzelli & Filipe Batista e Silva & Konstantin Rosina & Boyan Kavalov & Carlo Lavalle, 2017. "The LUISA Territorial Reference Scenario 2017: A technical description," JRC Research Reports JRC108163, Joint Research Centre.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Dax & Karin Schroll & Ingrid Machold & Martyna Derszniak-Noirjean & Bernd Schuh & Mailin Gaupp-Berghausen, 2021. "Land Abandonment in Mountain Areas of the EU: An Inevitable Side Effect of Farming Modernization and Neglected Threat to Sustainable Land Use," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-17, June.
    2. Gorgan, Maxim & Bavorova, Miroslava & Ullah, Ayat & Prishchepov, Alexander V., 2024. "The role of land market in shaping farmland abandonment in post-Soviet Armenia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    3. Giuseppe Cillis & Dina Statuto & Pietro Picuno, 2021. "Historical GIS as a Tool for Monitoring, Preserving and Planning Forest Landscape: A Case Study in a Mediterranean Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-20, August.
    4. Fabián Argandoña-Castro & Fernando Peña-Cortés, 2025. "A Systematic Review of Developments in Farmland Cover in Chile: Dynamics and Implications for a Sustainable Future in Land Use," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-20, April.
    5. Shinichi Kitano, 2021. "Estimation of Determinants of Farmland Abandonment and Its Data Problems," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-17, June.
    6. Ionuț Săvulescu & Bogdan-Andrei Mihai & Marina Vîrghileanu & Constantin Nistor & Bogdan Olariu, 2019. "Mountain Arable Land Abandonment (1968–2018) in the Romanian Carpathians: Environmental Conflicts and Sustainability Issues," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-11, November.
    7. Georgios Mamanis & Michael Vrahnakis & Dimitrios Chouvardas & Stamatia Nasiakou & Vassiliki Kleftoyanni, 2021. "Land Use Demands for the CLUE-S Spatiotemporal Model in an Agroforestry Perspective," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-16, October.
    8. Galioto, Francesco & Musotti, Francesco, 2023. "The governance of agricultural lands in marginal areas: A conceptual framework," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    9. Jaroslav Demko & Ján Machava, 2022. "Tree Resin, a Macroergic Source of Energy, a Possible Tool to Lower the Rise in Atmospheric CO 2 Levels," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Carolina Perpiña Castillo & Eloína Coll Aliaga & Carlo Lavalle & José Carlos Martínez Llario, 2020. "An Assessment and Spatial Modelling of Agricultural Land Abandonment in Spain (2015–2030)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-23, January.
    2. De Toni, Andrea & Di Martino, Paolo & Dax, Thomas, 2021. "Location matters. Are science and policy arenas facing the Inner Peripheries challenges in EU?," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    3. Andrius Kučas & Boyan Kavalov & Carlo Lavalle, 2020. "Living Cost Gap in the European Union Member States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-26, October.
    4. Druga, Michal & Minár, Jozef, 2023. "Cost distance and potential accessibility as alternative spatial approximators of human influence in LUCC modelling," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Carolina Perpina Castillo & Boyan Kavalov & Vasco Diogo & Chris Jacobs-Crisioni & Filipe Batista e Silva & Claudia Baranzelli & Carlo Lavalle, 2018. "Trends in the EU agricultural land within 2015-2030," JRC Research Reports JRC113717, Joint Research Centre.
    6. Francesco Dottori & Lorenzo Mentaschi & Alessandra Bianchi & Lorenzo Alfieri & Luc Feyen, 2023. "Cost-effective adaptation strategies to rising river flood risk in Europe," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 13(2), pages 196-202, February.
    7. Athanasios Lapatinas & Anastasia Litina & Konstantinos Poulios, 2022. "Economic complexity of cities and its role for resilience," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(8), pages 1-24, August.
    8. Annamaria Felli & Francesco Zullo, 2024. "Legislative Foundations: Exploring Land Take Laws and Urban Regeneration Policies in Italy and Europe," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-17, May.
    9. Carolina Perpina Castillo & Boyan Kavalov & Ricardo Ribeiro Barranco & Vasco Diogo & Chris Jacobs-Crisioni & Filipe Batista e Silva & Claudia Baranzelli & Carlo Lavalle, 2018. "Territorial Fact and Trends in the EU Rural Areas within 2015-2030," JRC Research Reports JRC114016, Joint Research Centre.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc113718. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Publication Officer (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ipjrces.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.