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Why Does It Always Rain on Me? A Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Precipitation in Austria

  • Nikolaus Umlauf

    ()

  • Georg Mayr

    ()

  • Jakob Messner

    ()

  • Achim Zeileis

    ()

It is popular belief that the weather is "bad" more frequently on weekends than on other days of the week and this is often perceived to be associated with an increased chance of rain. In fact, the meteorological literature does report some evidence for such human-induced weekly cycles although these findings are not undisputed. To contribute to this discussion, a modern data-driven approach using structured additive regression models is applied to a newly available high-quality data set for Austria. The analysis investigates how an ordered response of rain intensities is influenced by a (potential) weekend effect while adjusting for spatio-temporal structure using spatially varying effects of overall level and seasonality patterns. The underlying data are taken from the HOMSTART project which provides daily precipitation quantities over a period of more than 60 years and a dense net of more than 50 meteorological stations all across Austria.

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File URL: http://eeecon.uibk.ac.at/wopec2/repec/inn/wpaper/2011-25.pdf
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Paper provided by Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck in its series Working Papers with number 2011-25.

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Length: 19
Date of creation: Nov 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:inn:wpaper:2011-25
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Web page: http://www.uibk.ac.at/fakultaeten/volkswirtschaft_und_statistik/index.html.enEmail:


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  1. repec:cup:cbooks:9780521780506 is not listed on IDEAS
  2. repec:cup:cbooks:9780521785167 is not listed on IDEAS
  3. Achim Zeileis & Gabor Grothendieck, . "zoo: S3 Infrastructure for Regular and Irregular Time Series," Journal of Statistical Software, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(i06).
  4. Nikolaus Umlauf & Daniel Adler & Thomas Kneib & Stefan Lang & Achim Zeileis, 2012. "Structured Additive Regression Models: An R Interface to BayesX," Working Papers 2012-10, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck.
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