IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2025-267.html

Unlocking MENA and CCA Trade in a Fragmented World

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Apostolos Apostolou
  • Fillipo Gori
  • Thomas Kroen
  • Salem M Nechi
  • Subi Suvetha Velkumar

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of geoeconomic fragmentation on trade flows in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) and Middle East and North Africa (MENA) regions. Amidst ongoing conflicts, security threats, the spike in global economic uncertainty, and evolving consumer sentiments, these regions face intricate challenges that necessitate agile policy responses. The analysis presents three illustrative scenarios, examining the effects of targeted trade restrictions, trade diversion, and neutral stances on exports and economic output. The findings of these illustrative scenarios highlight the critical importance of reducing trade barriers, enhancing infrastructure, and improving regulatory environments to navigate the risks and opportunities posed by geoeconomic fragmentation. These measures are essential for fostering resilience and promoting sustainable growth in the affected regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Apostolos Apostolou & Fillipo Gori & Thomas Kroen & Salem M Nechi & Subi Suvetha Velkumar, 2025. "Unlocking MENA and CCA Trade in a Fragmented World," IMF Working Papers 2025/267, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2025/267
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=572720
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2025/267. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Akshay Modi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/imfffus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.