Risk-aversion and the short-run supply of timber
This paper examines the effect of risk-aversion on the short-run supply of timber, when the harvest revenue can be invested in a risk-free and a risky asset. It turns out that recognition of the risky investment alternative invalidates the previously reported effect of risk-aversion on short-run timber supply. Assuming that the second-period stumpage price and the rate of return on the risky asset are independent and normally distributed, it is shown that the effect of risk-aversion on the optimal harvesting behavior depends on the sign of a marginal variance. This shows the effect of a marginal increase in the harvest volume on the variance of the second-period wealth, evaluated at the optimal harvest-investment decision under risk-neutral preferences. If the marginal variance is negative, then risk-aversion increases the first-period harvest volume. If it is equal to zero, then only high degrees of risk-aversion affects (increases) the first-period harvest volume. Finally, if the marginal variance is greater than zero, then high degrees of risk-aversion increases the first-period harvest volume, whereas low degrees of risk-aversion has the opposite effect. The result has implications for the analysis of the harvesting behavior of any renewable resources.
To our knowledge, this item is not available for
download. To find whether it is available, there are three
1. Check below under "Related research" whether another version of this item is available online.
2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.
|Date of creation:||31 May 2001|
|Date of revision:|
|Publication status:||Published in Forest Science, 2003, pages 647-656.|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: |
Phone: 090 - 786 61 42
Fax: 090 - 77 23 02
Web page: http://www.econ.umu.se/Email:
More information through EDIRC
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Markku Ollikainen, 1996. "Essays on Timber Supply and Forest Taxation," Research Reports 33, Government Institute for Economic Research Finland (VATT).
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hhs:umnees:0561. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Kjell-Göran Holmberg)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.