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Strategisk omvärldsanalys vid myndigheter

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Abstract

This paper analyses strategic foresight (omvärldsanalys) in Swedish government authorities and asks questions on the scope, rationale and drivers, organisation, functions, results and content in reports, methods and theories, and importance. The answers to these questions pinpoint the phenomenon of strategic foresight. They provide also the basis for answering more fundamental questions: What is the advantage of strategic foresight in government authorities? Are there differences in benefits between authorities, and what can be said about quality? It is argued that benefits vary with the organization, activities and tasks, quality and position in the organization. Management behaviour is a key factor. Strategic foresight has specific procedures similar to research, and has gained in importance as interpreter of societal change and the future. One explanation could be an increased need for rapid analysis of change since uncertainty is perceived as a growing problem.

Suggested Citation

  • Lundqvist, Torbjörn, 2009. "Strategisk omvärldsanalys vid myndigheter," Arbetsrapport 2009:10, Institute for Futures Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:ifswps:2009_010
    Note: ISSN: 1652-120X; ISBN:978-91-85619-49-8
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Strategic foresight; Swedish government authorities; Management behaviour; Societal change; Future; Analysis of change; Uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M12 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Administration - - - Personnel Management; Executives; Executive Compensation
    • M13 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Administration - - - New Firms; Startups
    • M14 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Administration - - - Corporate Culture; Diversity; Social Responsibility
    • O21 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Planning Models; Planning Policy
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy

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